System Identification and Prediction of Dengue Fever Incidence in Rio de Janeiro

Table 2

Performances of the models in the prediction process (by comparing to the historical series of 2008).

Rank	Neighborhood	𝑟	𝑛	SIS or SIR	Average error
1	Square	1	2420	SIR	106922
2	Cross	2	500	SIR	108836
3	Cross	1	2420	SIR	111387
4	Cross	1	500	SIR	115057
5	Square	1	500	SIR	115305
6	Cross	1	1000	SIR	118400
7	Square	1	1000	SIR	119329
8	Cross	2	1000	SIR	126618
9	Cross	1	2420	SIS	152288
10	Square	2	500	SIR	153741
11	Square	2	2420	SIR	159273
12	Cross	2	2420	SIR	176750
13	Square	2	1000	SIR	191479
14	Cross	2	2420	SIS	251616
15	Square	1	1000	SIS	262038
16	Cross	1	500	SIS	274454
17	Square	1	2420	SIS	354890
18	Cross	1	1000	SIS	565194
19	Square	1	500	SIS	693065
20	Cross	2	1000	SIS	1241196
21	Square	2	1000	SIS	2674843
22	Square	2	2420	SIS	2746208
23	Square	2	500	SIS	3622893
24	Cross	2	500	SIS	4749106