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Mathematical Problems in Engineering
Volume 2013, Article ID 597243, 8 pages
http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/597243
Research Article

Risk Modelling for Passages in Approach Channel

Gdynia Maritime University, Morska 81-87, 81-225 Gdynia, Poland

Received 22 February 2013; Revised 14 June 2013; Accepted 1 July 2013

Academic Editor: Jia-Jang Wu

Copyright © 2013 Leszek Smolarek and Henryk Śniegocki. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

Abstract

Methods of multivariate statistics, stochastic processes, and simulation methods are used to identify and assess the risk measures. This paper presents the use of generalized linear models and Markov models to study risks to ships along the approach channel. These models combined with simulation testing are used to determine the time required for continuous monitoring of endangered objects or period at which the level of risk should be verified.