Transport Turnover with Spatial Econometric Perspective under the Energy Conservation and Emissions Reduction in China

Table 2

Scenarios of economic growth and degree of emission reduction.

Scenarios	Introduction	Related parameters
High-growth scenario	The domestic economic development is good and the authorities of China adopt a high degree of macrocontrol. The road turnover of the five regions mentioned above transferred to waterway and railway largely. The philosophy of low-carbon is deep in the human mind and the implementation environment of low-carbon is fine.	GDP growth rate: 10%.; The reduction rate of road turnover: 25%
Moderate-growth scenario	The domestic economic development is stable and the road turnover grows steadily. The authorities introduce relatively soft macro-control policies.	GDP growth rate: 8%.; The reduction rate of road turnover: 15%
Low-growth scenario	A variety of uncertainties in the future are taken into account, so the domestic economic development is poor. In this economic environment, the increase in road turnover is small, and the measures adopted by authorities are slight.	GDP growth rate: 6%.; The reduction rate of road turnover: 5%