Mathematical Evaluation of Prediction Accuracy for Food Quality by Time Temperature Integrator of Intelligent Food Packaging through Virtual Experiments

Table 3

Evaluation of prediction accuracy for growth of Pseudomonas spp., Listeria monocytogenes, and Escherichia coli by TTIs in terms of various statistical parameters.

TTI type	Case for temperature profile	Exponential growth model			The Baranyi and Roberts model			New logistic model (NLM)
		(Pseudomonas spp.)			(Listeria monocytogenes)			(Escherichia coli)
		MSE	Bias factor	Accuracy factor	MSE	Bias factor	Accuracy factor	MSE	Bias factor	Accuracy factor
M2-3510	I	0.000	0.974	1.027	0.018	0.949	1.053	0.033	0.967	1.034
	II	0.000	0.985	1.016	0.003	0.988	1.012	0.006	1.053	0.950
	III	0.001	0.989	1.011	0.010	0.978	1.023	0.020	0.982	1.018
M4-10	I	0.000	1.030	0.970	0.001	1.014	0.987	0.007	1.066	0.938
	II	0.000	1.019	0.982	0.030	1.042	0.960	0.045	1.162	0.861
	III	0.023	1.010	0.991	0.000	0.998	1.002	0.002	1.012	0.988
M	I	0.000	1.015	0.985	0.000	0.994	1.006	0.001	1.036	0.965
	II	0.000	1.009	0.991	0.013	1.025	0.975	0.029	1.130	0.885
	III	0.014	1.004	0.996	0.001	0.992	1.008	0.005	1.004	0.996
S	I	0.000	0.971	1.030	0.022	0.946	1.057	0.039	0.962	1.039
	II	0.000	0.983	1.018	0.005	0.986	1.014	0.005	1.047	0.955
	III	0.001	0.988	1.013	0.012	0.976	1.024	0.022	0.980	1.020