Research Article
Modeling the Dynamics of Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate Based on Single-Factor Short Rate Processes
Table 2
Parameter estimates for the single-factor diffusion models.
| Series | Model name | Parameters | Log likelihood | | | | | | |
| O/N | Merton | 0.386810 | 0.366409 | — | — | — | — | −116.5897 | GBM | 0.004838 | 0.102661 | — | — | — | — | −79.4846 | Vasicek | 0.059131 | 0.357140 | 2.182412 | — | — | — | −67.1018 | CIR | 0.185532 | 0.248036 | 5.304625 | — | — | — | −38.2561 | MRJD | 0.002212 | 0.045752 | 2.001096 | 0.054475 | −0.047486 | 0.745071 | −16.3986 |
| 1-Week | Merton | 0.505131 | 0.452737 | — | — | — | — | −108.7844 | GBM | 0.006433 | 0.113952 | — | — | — | — | −93.3939 | Vasicek | 0.058609 | 0.442345 | 2.732211 | — | — | — | −86.9711 | CIR | 0.043466 | 0.219753 | 2.735201 | — | — | — | −58.2525 | MRJD | 0.003102 | 0.147420 | 2.408793 | 0.035441 | −0.147026 | 1.165968 | −13.5398 |
| 2-Week | Merton | 0.529391 | 0.491417 | — | — | — | — | −186.2086 | GBM | 0.046521 | 0.093887 | — | — | — | — | −106.2416 | Vasicek | 0.058597 | 0.451624 | 2.731857 | — | — | — | −105.7956 | CIR | 0.027683 | 0.211341 | 2.803126 | — | — | — | −68.6953 | MRJD | 0.005202 | 0.210520 | 2.112525 | 0.042165 | −0.22365 | 1.236651 | −13.8344 |
| 1-Month | Merton | 0.619768 | 0.252719 | — | — | — | — | −164.5811 | GBM | 0.013203 | 0.044481 | — | — | — | — | −88.6862 | Vasicek | 0.013835 | 0.243282 | 3.313312 | — | — | — | −56.6224 | CIR | 0.080097 | 0.105921 | 3.354525 | — | — | — | −37.7186 | MRJD | 0.001618 | 0.078245 | 2.000189 | 0.038285 | 0.023883 | 0.714316 | −27.5073 |
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