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Mathematical Problems in Engineering
Volume 2014, Article ID 687568, 14 pages
http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/687568
Research Article

Risk Evaluation on UHV Power Transmission Construction Project Based on AHP and FCE Method

School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China

Received 31 October 2013; Revised 24 December 2013; Accepted 25 December 2013; Published 16 January 2014

Academic Editor: Ching-Ter Chang

Copyright © 2014 Huiru Zhao and Sen Guo. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

Abstract

Ultra high voltage (UHV) power transmission construction project is a high-tech power grid construction project which faces many risks and uncertainty. Identifying the risk of UHV power transmission construction project can help mitigate the risk loss and promote the smooth construction. The risk evaluation on “Zhejiang-Fuzhou” UHV power transmission construction project was performed based on analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation (FCE) method in this paper. After the risk evaluation index system was built, the AHP was used to determine the weights of risk indicators, and the FCE method was to perform the risk evaluation. The evaluation result shows that (1) “Zhejiang-Fuzhou” UHV power transmission construction project has moderate risk, which indicates the occurrence probability of project risk is medium and the risk occurrence will cause general loss for project, (2) “society risk” has the highest level, and the next is “policy and law risk,” “technique risk,” “natural environmental risk,” and “Management risk,” respectively, and it should keep main eye on the social risk, policy and law risk, and technique risk. Finally, according to the risk evaluation result, the specific risk control recommendations were proposed for the smooth construction of this project.