Deterioration Prediction of Urban Bridges on Network Level Using Markov-Chain Model

Table 8

Transition probabilities for whole bridge under natural decay.

Year	𝑝55	𝑝44	𝑝33	𝑝22
2004-2005	0.887	0.855	0.944	0.905
2005-2006	0.947	0.876	0.903	0.929
2006-2007	0.921	0.859	0.815	0.958
2007-2008	0.918	0.921	0.889	1.000
2008-2009	0.949	0.954	1.000	1.000
2009-2010	0.929	0.883	0.909	0.909
2010-2011	0.909	0.836	0.750	1.000
2011-2012	0.912	0.917	0.911	0.867
2012-2013	0.796	0.835	0.951	0.889