A Driving Force Analysis and Forecast for Gas Consumption Demand in China

Table 4

Comparison of gas consumption prediction under different quantile levels (million cubic meters).

𝜏 value	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	Average absolute relative deviation
0.1	70560.15	84601.49	94529.42	112460.70	130227.26	3.02%
0.2	70703.16	84874.13	94891.75	113142.60	131391.15	3.42%
0.3	70797.26	84976.99	94999.72	113301.53	131586.66	3.56%
0.4	70650.43	84185.64	93788.88	110529.23	125615.36	3.13%
0.5	71499.94	87316.19	98612.99	120456.55	144340.02	8.43%
0.6	71734.13	88306.52	100207.47	123738.03	150610.36	10.67%
0.7	71820.29	88731.32	100952.97	125331.19	153760.68	11.75%
0.8	71953.44	89158.33	101625.68	126708.88	156386.20	12.70%
0.9	72502.79	91450.19	105348.59	134785.30	172277.66	18.20%
Real value	70523.14	81293.43	89519.84	106940.00	130530.00	0