Research Article
A Driving Force Analysis and Forecast for Gas Consumption Demand in China
Table 8
Forecasts of gas consumption (million cubic meters).
| | | Model | RBF-QRNN | BVAR
Prior = 1 | Combined forecast | The year-on-year growth rate |
| Forecasting results for gas
consumption demand | 2012 | 138996.8 | 141110.99 | 140053.89 | / | | 2013 | 151325.0 | 152619.47 | 151972.24 | 8.81% | | 2014 | 164503.6 | 165139.69 | 164821.65 | 8.46% | | 2015 | 178532.1 | 178766.36 | 178649.23 | 8.39% | | 2016 | 193414.4 | 193604.36 | 193509.38 | 8.32% | | 2017 | 209136.1 | 209768.12 | 209452.11 | 8.24% | | 2018 | 225677.4 | 227384.34 | 226530.87 | 8.15% | | 2019 | 243009.0 | 246591.89 | 244800.45 | 8.06% | | 2020 | 261853.0 | 267544.72 | 264698.86 | 8.13% | | AAGR | 8.24% | 8.33% | 8.28% | / |
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