Electric Load Forecast Using Combined Models with HP Filter-SARIMA and ARMAX Optimized by Regression Analysis Algorithm

Table 4

Minimum information criterion.

	MA(0)	MA(1)	MA(2)	MA(3)	MA(4)	MA(5)
AR(0)	−4.32533	−4.42021	−4.30792	−4.23921	−4.17551	−4.07372
AR(1)	−4.36563	−4.29661	−4.18864	−4.11551	−4.0525	−3.95355
AR(2)	−4.32658	−4.20127	−4.07613	−3.99036	−3.92849	−3.82853
AR(3)	−4.23955	−4.11437	−3.99	−3.8682	−3.87325	−3.82193
AR(4)	−4.17601	−4.05104	−3.92805	−3.8028	−3.76851	−3.75611
AR(5)	−4.07686	−3.95249	−3.82807	−3.83598	−3.71155	−3.79342
Minimum table value: BIC() = −4.42021