Research Article
An Experimental Investigation of FNN Model for Wind Speed Forecasting Using EEMD and CS
Table 1
The one-step ahead forecasting errors of the four models in three months.
| Models | FNN model | EEMD-FNN model | CS-FNN model | CS-EEMD-FNN model | WTGa | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | Mean | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | Mean | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | Mean | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | Mean |
| Jan. | MAE | 0.84 | 0.90 | 1.11 | 0.89 | 0.94 | 0.63 | 0.60 | 0.77 | 0.62 | 0.66 | 0.60 | 0.63 | 0.79 | 0.62 | 0.66 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.64 | 0.50 | 0.52 | MAPE | 7.47 | 10.66 | 9.86 | 8.47 | 9.12 | 5.74 | 6.88 | 7.19 | 6.03 | 6.46 | 5.46 | 6.97 | 7.34 | 6.12 | 6.47 | 4.31 | 5.08 | 5.93 | 4.77 | 5.02 | RMSE | 1.15 | 1.14 | 2.14 | 1.23 | 1.42 | 0.85 | 0.80 | 1.09 | 0.83 | 0.89 | 0.80 | 0.84 | 1.22 | 0.83 | 0.92 | 0.64 | 0.62 | 0.91 | 0.68 | 0.71 |
| Apr. | MAE | 3.17 | 5.63 | 5.85 | 2.34 | 4.25 | 0.87 | 1.04 | 1.27 | 1.02 | 1.05 | 0.97 | 1.93 | 3.40 | 2.47 | 2.19 | 0.63 | 0.90 | 0.77 | 0.75 | 0.76 | MAPE | 25.35 | 39.19 | 42.48 | 21.40 | 32.11 | 9.05 | 9.50 | 12.20 | 13.14 | 10.97 | 9.46 | 14.72 | 24.69 | 21.26 | 17.53 | 6.71 | 8.14 | 7.56 | 8.79 | 7.8 | RMSE | 9.96 | 15.16 | 14.42 | 5.13 | 11.17 | 1.48 | 1.92 | 1.98 | 1.37 | 1.69 | 2.59 | 6.25 | 10.53 | 7.63 | 6.75 | 1.01 | 1.46 | 1.13 | 1.14 | 1.19 |
| Jul. | MAE | 5.19 | 9.9 | 8.1 | 4.12 | 6.83 | 0.91 | 1.78 | 2.00 | 1.42 | 1.53 | 4.49 | 1.29 | 1.95 | 2.66 | 2.60 | 0.99 | 1.58 | 1.46 | 0.99 | 1.25 | MAPE | 53.46 | 89.05 | 72.84 | 51.48 | 66.71 | 14.80 | 24.52 | 22.87 | 30.87 | 23.27 | 45.98 | 18.31 | 20.80 | 36.34 | 30.36 | 14.63 | 20.86 | 18.63 | 17.78 | 17.98 | RMSE | 12.24 | 23.43 | 19.76 | 10.14 | 16.39 | 1.77 | 2.86 | 3.62 | 2.09 | 2.59 | 40.57 | 2.77 | 6.00 | 7.41 | 14.19 | 1.21 | 2.90 | 2.57 | 1.76 | 2.11 |
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Wind Turbine Generator.
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