Research Article
A New Hybrid Model Based on an Intelligent Optimization Algorithm and a Data Denoising Method to Make Wind Speed Predication
Table 3
The forecasting results of June from observation site 1 on a given time interval.
| Date
June | Time (h) | Actual value | BPANN | ARIMA | WT-ARIMA | WAFSA-BPANN | | Forecasting | MAPE (%) | Forecasting | MAPE (%) | Forecasting | MAPE (%) | Forecasting | MAPE (%) |
| | June. 1 | 0:00
6:00
12:00
18:00 | 2.9
3.7
2.6
1.8 | 4.423
2.748
3.235
2.309 | 52.508
25.728
24.425
28.265 | 4.293
2.653
3.144
2.138 | 48.044
28.287
20.929
18.759 | 3.292
2.540
3.126
2.078 | 13.530
31.358
20.230
15.423 | 3.529
3.387
2.991
2.151 | 21.693
8.449
15.027
19.499 |
| | June. 2 | 0:00
6:00
12:00
18:00 | 1.6
0.7
6.1
9.5 | 1.690
1.389
6.150
9.949 | 5.632
98.435
0.817
4.728 | 1.464
1.091
6.133
9.949 | 8.529
55.881
0.537
4.726 | 1.385
1.105
6.247
10.032 | 13.407
57.881
2.403
5.595 | 1.730
1.543
6.261
9.857 | 8.116
120.427
2.636
3.758 |
| | June. 3 | 0:00
6:00
12:00
18:00 | 10.8
12
8.9
2.4 | 10.788
12.724
9.151
1.813 | 0.112
6.034
2.815
24.455 | 10.685
12.742
9.332
1.785 | 1.063
6.183
4.859
25.627 | 10.748
12.790
9.199
1.631 | 0.481
6.581
3.357
32.040 | 10.982
12.276
9.304
2.172 | 1.684
2.300
4.542
9.482 |
| | June. 4 | 0:00
6:00
12:00
18:00 | 2.4
1.9
2.9
5.4 | 2.376
2.143
3.028
4.435 | 0.983
12.795
4.404
17.873 | 2.200
1.901
2.844
4.395 | 8.338
0.049
1.943
18.611 | 2.207
1.900
2.915
4.410 | 8.022
0.024
0.504
18.337 | 2.340
1.922
2.872
4.398 | 2.509
1.150
0.970
18.551 |
| | June. 5 | 0:00
6:00
12:00
18:00 | 8
1.3
2.2
5.9 | 7.444
1.570
2.652
5.879 | 6.956
20.753
20.543
0.351 | 7.369
1.400
2.482
5.781 | 7.886
7.701
12.801
2.015 | 7.566
1.269
2.487
5.895 | 5.429
2.365
13.066
0.081 | 7.321
1.763
2.665
5.704 | 8.491
35.644
21.118
3.321 |
| | June. 6 | 0:00
6:00
12:00
18:00 | 7.8
8.3
9.5
14.2 | 7.861
8.286
8.627
12.340 | 0.776
0.167
9.190
13.098 | 7.841
8.312
8.635
12.331 | 0.525
0.150
9.106
13.165 | 7.884
8.277
8.702
12.412 | 1.081
0.283
8.398
12.593 | 8.072
8.431
9.268
12.911 | 3.482
1.581
2.443
9.078 |
| | June. 7 | 0:00
6:00
12:00
18:00 | 11.4
7
7.3
10.3 | 10.582
6.839
6.744
10.616 | 7.179
2.302
7.614
3.068 | 10.742
6.859
6.845
10.546 | 5.775
2.014
6.235
2.388 | 10.578
6.914
6.794
10.748 | 7.214
1.229
6.938
4.348 | 11.174
6.988
7.374
10.445 | 1.982
0.175
1.013
1.404 |
|
|
