Mathematical Problems in Engineering / 2015 / Article / Tab 5

Research Article

A New Hybrid Model Based on an Intelligent Optimization Algorithm and a Data Denoising Method to Make Wind Speed Predication

Table 5

The forecasting results of October from observation site 1 on a given time interval.

Date
October
Time (h)Actual valueBPANNARIMAWT-ARIMAWAFSA-BPANN
ForecastingMAPE (%)ForecastingMAPE (%)ForecastingMAPE (%)ForecastingMAPE (%)

Oct. 20:00
6:00
12:00
18:00
7.5
8.5
9.1
10.7
7.452
8.185
9.412
11.173
0.645
3.706
3.431
4.423
7.384
8.129
9.422
10.695
1.541
4.368
3.543
0.051
6.322
8.368
9.511
10.442
15.709
1.548
4.513
2.408
7.160
7.955
9.228
10.988
4.527
6.406
1.408
2.690

Oct. 30:00
6:00
12:00
18:00
10.5
6.5
5.7
4.4
11.719
6.817
5.273
4.188
11.610
4.883
7.492
4.818
11.723
6.912
5.344
4.166
11.649
6.337
6.247
5.316
11.765
6.770
5.082
4.199
12.052
4.148
10.841
4.571
10.970
7.017
5.796
4.207
4.480
7.957
1.683
4.394

Oct. 40:00
6:00
12:00
18:00
3.8
3.3
3.1
2.9
4.424
3.432
3.176
2.579
16.428
3.986
2.442
11.065
4.477
3.353
2.955
2.474
17.817
1.592
4.673
14.683
4.434
3.392
3.075
2.476
16.675
2.781
0.795
14.619
4.179
3.212
2.574
2.667
9.983
2.677
16.962
8.043

Oct. 50:00
6:00
12:00
18:00
4.3
3.8
6.6
7.5
4.483
3.921
6.225
6.712
4.267
3.187
5.685
10.508
4.449
3.918
6.190
6.557
3.459
3.114
6.214
12.568
4.499
3.894
6.159
6.865
4.622
2.481
6.687
8.468
4.317
4.034
6.106
7.105
0.392
6.146
7.480
5.272

Oct. 60:00
6:00
12:00
18:00
9.4
8.6
6.8
4.2
8.985
8.160
7.209
4.300
4.412
5.116
6.008
2.391
8.982
8.164
7.286
4.402
4.450
5.067
7.140
4.814
9.020
8.075
7.216
4.275
4.038
6.103
6.119
1.794
9.024
8.192
7.328
4.621
4.000
4.740
7.765
10.013

Oct. 70:00
6:00
12:00
18:00
3.9
2.6
3.1
4.6
4.456
2.573
3.502
4.641
14.266
1.038
12.952
0.884
4.519
2.512
3.448
4.675
15.864
3.398
11.232
1.624
4.371
2.484
3.519
4.632
12.067
4.467
13.511
0.689
4.354
2.441
3.046
4.670
11.645
6.111
1.744
1.522