Research Article
Research and Application of a New Hybrid Forecasting Model Based on Genetic Algorithm Optimization: A Case Study of Shandong Wind Farm in China
Table 2
Errors comparisons of four traditional models.
| | | Models | MAPE (%) | MSE (m2/s2) | MAE (m/s) |
| Observation
site 1 | BP | 6.0643 | 0.5808 | 0.5432 | | ARIMA | 6.1497 | 0.5814 | 0.5588 | | FAC | 4.6603 | 0.6668 | 0.4562 | | SAC | 5.3317 | 0.7595 | 0.5356 |
| Observation
site 2 | BP | 5.8862 | 0.4006 | 0.5245 | | ARIMA | 5.8202 | 0.4135 | 0.5280 | | FAC | 6.2611 | 0.4150 | 0.5758 | | SAC | 6.4436 | 0.4339 | 0.5927 |
| Observation
site 3 | BP | 5.7011 | 0.4848 | 0.5421 | | ARIMA | 5.2878 | 0.4184 | 0.5066 | | FAC | 5.0800 | 0.3593 | 0.4847 | | SAC | 5.0617 | 0.3610 | 0.4840 |
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