Hybrid Models Based on Singular Values and Autoregressive Methods for Multistep Ahead Forecasting of Traffic Accidents

Table 2

Multistep ahead prediction—average results, MNSE, and .

(week)	(%)				(%)
	SSA-AR	SSA-ANN	HSVD-AR	HSVD-ANN	SSA-AR	SSA-ANN	HSVD-AR	HSVD-ANN
1	99.5	99.4	96.4	95.7	99.9	99.9	99.9	99.8
2	98.8	98.7	94.6	93.1	99.9	99.9	99.7	99.6
3	97.9	97.6	93.2	90.9	99.9	99.9	99.6	99.3
4	96.9	96.7	91.7	89.2	99.9	99.9	99.4	98.9
5	95.8	95.3	90.6	86.9	99.8	99.8	99.2	98.6
6	94.6	93.6	89.4	85.2	99.7	99.7	99.0	98.3
7	93.4	92.6	88.2	83.5	99.6	99.5	98.8	97.7
8	92.2	91.3	87.5	81.9	99.4	99.3	98.6	97.4
9	90.9	89.4	87.4	80.2	99.2	99.1	98.5	97.5
10	89.6	87.9	87.4	81.7	99.0	98.8	98.5	97.6
11	88.4	86.3	87.6	82.2	98.8	98.5	98.6	97.2
12	87.2	84.5	88.6	86.6	98.5	98.2	98.7	98.5
13	86.2	77.3	89.0	83.4	98.3	96.7	98.9	97.9
14	85.3	73.9	90.5	77.3	98.1	95.9	99.1	96.6
Min	85.3	73.9	87.4	77.4	98.1	95.9	98.5	96.6
Max	99.5	99.4	96.4	95.7	99.9	99.9	99.9	99.8
Mean 1–14 steps	92.6	90.3	90.1	85.6	99.3	98.9	99.0	98.2
Mean 12–14 steps	86.2	78.6	89.4	82.4	98.3	96.9	98.9	97.7