Research Article
Risk Analysis for Cascade Reservoirs Collapse Based on Bayesian Networks under the Combined Action of Flood and Landslide Surge
Table 2
Simulation parameters and calculated probabilities.
| Reservoir | Simulation time, | Probability interval, | Adjusted water level | Water level over dam (times), m | Dam overtopping frequency, | Overtopping probability | Case | Value (m) | Probability | |
| Houziyan | 1000 | 0~0.0001 | Normal | 1842 | 17 | 0.017 | | 1.70 × 10−6 | 1000 | 0~0.0001 | Check | 1845.41 | 21 | 0.021 | | 2.10 × 10−6 | Changheba | 1000 | 0~0.0001 | Normal | 1690 | 14 | 0.014 | | 1.40 × 10−6 | 1000 | 0~0.0001 | Check | 1694.6 | 17 | 0.017 | | 1.70 × 10−6 |
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