Risk Analysis for Cascade Reservoirs Collapse Based on Bayesian Networks under the Combined Action of Flood and Landslide Surge

Table 2

Simulation parameters and calculated probabilities.

Reservoir	Simulation time,	Probability interval,	Adjusted water level		Water level over dam (times), m	Dam overtopping frequency,	Overtopping probability
			Case	Value (m)			Probability
Houziyan	1000	0~0.0001	Normal	1842	17	0.017		1.70 × 10^−6
	1000	0~0.0001	Check	1845.41	21	0.021		2.10 × 10^−6
Changheba	1000	0~0.0001	Normal	1690	14	0.014		1.40 × 10^−6
	1000	0~0.0001	Check	1694.6	17	0.017		1.70 × 10^−6