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Mathematical Problems in Engineering
Volume 2016 (2016), Article ID 3205396, 28 pages
http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2016/3205396
Research Article

A Hybrid Forecasting Model Based on Empirical Mode Decomposition and the Cuckoo Search Algorithm: A Case Study for Power Load

1School of Statistics, Dongbei University of Finance and Economics, Dalian, Liaoning 116025, China
2School of Mathematics and Statistics, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu 730000, China

Received 20 August 2015; Revised 8 April 2016; Accepted 13 April 2016

Academic Editor: Dongsuk Kum

Copyright © 2016 Jiani Heng et al. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

Abstract

Power load forecasting always plays a considerable role in the management of a power system, as accurate forecasting provides a guarantee for the daily operation of the power grid. It has been widely demonstrated in forecasting that hybrid forecasts can improve forecast performance compared with individual forecasts. In this paper, a hybrid forecasting approach, comprising Empirical Mode Decomposition, CSA (Cuckoo Search Algorithm), and WNN (Wavelet Neural Network), is proposed. This approach constructs a more valid forecasting structure and more stable results than traditional ANN (Artificial Neural Network) models such as BPNN (Back Propagation Neural Network), GABPNN (Back Propagation Neural Network Optimized by Genetic Algorithm), and WNN. To evaluate the forecasting performance of the proposed model, a half-hourly power load in New South Wales of Australia is used as a case study in this paper. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed hybrid model is not only simple but also able to satisfactorily approximate the actual power load and can be an effective tool in planning and dispatch for smart grids.