Research Article

Multistep Wind Speed Forecasting Using a Novel Model Hybridizing Singular Spectrum Analysis, Modified Intelligent Optimization, and Rolling Elman Neural Network

Table 8

Average results of the 10 min wind speed.

1-step2-step3-step5-step

ARIMA
MSE (m/s)0.66680.92871.1641.4469
MAE (m/s)0.59160.69140.76190.8602
MAPE (%)8.339.6410.6111.92

RENN
MSE (m/s)0.61910.81980.99581.2446
MAE (m/s)0.58650.66660.72910.8116
MAPE (%)8.129.149.9710.25

SSA-PSO-RENN
MSE (m/s)0.26140.46630.69891.0604
MAE (m/s)0.3880.50170.60210.7397
MAPE (%)5.14366.56117.81669.5465

BPNN
MSE (m/s)0.68540.9551.20461.5546
MAE (m/s)0.61490.71920.80040.9125
MAPE (%)7.949.2210.2311.58

SSA-RENN
MSE (m/s)0.26640.46870.69751.0421
MAE (m/s)0.39290.50270.60060.735
MAPE (%)5.216.577.89.52

SSA-FAPSO-RENN
MSE (m/s)0.2530.44790.67431.0256
MAE (m/s)0.38190.49180.5920.7306
MAPE (%)5.06576.42647.68699.4487