Research Article

Study on Transition of Primary Energy Structure and Carbon Emission Reduction Targets in China Based on Markov Chain Model and GM (1, 1)

Table 2

Primary energy consumption forecast results (unit: Mtoe).

TimeGM (1, 1)SLRMAverageCrude oilNatural gasCoalNonfossil energy

20203843.24013.53928.35642.3280.52479.2526.4
20305891.45649.85770.6865.0546.53355.01004.0