Influence of Climate Change in Reliability Analysis of High Rise Building

Table 10

Effect of climate change to changes in reliability.

	Present condition	Future prediction	Increased percentage
Extreme temperature (°C)	41.9	44.7~46.9	6.7~11.9
Extreme wind speed (m/s)	38.35	39.37~40.17	2.7~4.7
Failure probability
Monte Carlo simulation	0.0343	0.0484~0.0591	41.1~72.3
First-order estimation	0.00504	0.01004~0.01455	99.2~188.9
Numerical integration	0.0211	0.0325~0.0409	54.0~93.8
Other effects
Correlation ()	0.034	0.0486~0.0588	42.9~72.9
Lognormal distribution	0.016	0.0251~0.032	56.9~100