Research Article

System Dynamic Model for Simulating Demand-Supply Interaction of Railway Express Freight System

Table 1

Meanings and units of the variables and parameters.

SubmodelVariable/parameterMeaningUnit

Economic environment submodelAIGDPAnnual increment of GDPHundred million yuan/year
EGRCEconomic growth rate in the coming yearsDmnl
EGRPEconomic growth rate in the past yearsDmnl
GDPGross domestic productHundred million yuan
RGDPGrowth rate of GDPDmnl

Demand submodelDSGDemand-supply gapMillion ton-km
EREFCExpected railway express freight capacityMillion ton-km
FTPGDPFreight turnover per unit of GDPHundred million ton-km/hundred million yuan
FRRLPFulfillment rate of railway loading planDmnl
FRRUPFulfillment rate of railway unloading planDmnl
POHVGTProportion of ordinary high value-added goods railway turnoverDmnl
PRCTProportion of railway container turnoverDmnl
PRFTProportion of railway freight turnoverDmnl
RCTRailway container turnoverMillion ton-km
REFTRailway express freight turnoverMillion ton-km
REPTRailway express parcel turnoverMillion ton-km
RFTRailway freight turnoverMillion ton-km
RFTOHVGRailway freight turnover of ordinary high value-added goodsMillion ton-km
PREPTProportion of railway express parcel turnoverDmnl
TFTTotal freight turnoverHundred million ton-km
UC1Unit conversionMillion ton-km/hundred million ton-km

Supply and investment submodelACAccommodation coefficientDmnl
ARFRAverage railway freight rateHundred million yuan/hundred million ton-km
ARFRCAverage railway freight rate in coming yearsHundred million yuan/hundred million ton-km
ARFRCRAverage railway freight rate of containerMillion yuan/million ton-km
ARFREPAverage railway freight rate of express parcelMillion yuan/million ton-km
ARFROHVGAverage railway freight rate of ordinary high value-added goodsMillion yuan/million ton-km
CARFRCalculated average railway freight rateHundred million yuan/hundred million ton-km
FAIRCFixed assets investment of railway in coming yearsHundred million yuan
FAIRPFixed assets investment of railway in past yearsHundred million yuan
FAIRFixed assets investment of railwayHundred million yuan
FCIUIFreight capacity increment per unit of investmentHundred million ton-km/hundred million yuan
REFCRailway express freight capacityMillion ton-km
REFIRailway express freight incomeHundred million yuan
RFCIRailway freight capacity incrementMillion ton-km
ST1,ST2Smoothing timeDmnl
TRFITotal railway freight incomeHundred million yuan
UC1Unit conversionMillion ton-km/hundred million ton-km
UC2Unit conversionMillion yuan/hundred million yuan