Research Article
Interval Forecasting in Supply Chain with Small Sample
Table 5
The forecasting values and MAPE of different models.
| Forecasting technique | Forecasting value for 2008 | Actual value | MAPE |
| Moving average | 910403 | | 11.0 | Exponential smoothing | 854168 | | 4.1 | Quadratic trend | 646699 | | 21.2 | Cubic trend | 665629 | 820161 | 18.8 | Non-linear trend | 876998 | | 6.9 | ANP | 830797 | | 1.3 | (1,1) | 817142 | | 0.4 | GM(1,1) | 836018 | | 1.9 |
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