Research Article

Interval Forecasting in Supply Chain with Small Sample

Table 5

The forecasting values and MAPE of different models.

Forecasting techniqueForecasting value for 2008Actual valueMAPE

Moving average91040311.0
Exponential smoothing8541684.1
Quadratic trend64669921.2
Cubic trend66562982016118.8
Non-linear trend8769986.9
ANP830797 1.3
(1,1)8171420.4
GM(1,1)8360181.9