Research Article
Evaluation Index System and Evaluation Method of China’s Regional Potential for Electrical Energy Substitution
(a) Initial values of evaluation indicators for each region |
| Area | GDP (10,000 yuan) | Population (10,000) | Coal consumption (10,000 tons) | Crude oil consumption (10,000 tons) | Natural gas consumption (100 million cubic meters) | Electricity consumption (100 million kWh) |
| Beijing | 25669.13 | 2173 | 1165.18 | 991.54 | 146.88 | 952.72 | Shanghai | 28178.65 | 2420 | 4728.13 | 2526.11 | 77.41 | 1405.6 | Tianjin | 17885.39 | 1562 | 4538.83 | 1616.72 | 63.98 | 800.6 | Chongqing | 17740.59 | 3048 | 6047.19 | 704.33 | 88.37 | 875.37 | Sichuan | 32934.54 | 8262 | 9288.9 | 989.56 | 170.98 | 1992.4 | Hebei | 32070.45 | 7470 | 28943.1 | 1666.82 | 72.97 | 3175.7 | Shanxi | 13050.41 | 3682 | 37115.1 | 746.91 | 64.92 | 1737.2 | Shandong | 68024.49 | 9947 | 40926.9 | 8607.02 | 82.32 | 5117.1 | Jiangsu | 77388.28 | 7999 | 27209.1 | 3823.2 | 165.02 | 5114.7 | Zhejiang | 47251.36 | 5590 | 13826 | 2846.84 | 80.35 | 3553.9 | Anhui | 24407.62 | 6196 | 15671.3 | 690.59 | 34.83 | 1639.8 | Fujian | 28810.58 | 3874 | 7659.94 | 2164.85 | 45.38 | 1851.9 | Hubei | 32665.38 | 5885 | 11765.9 | 1299.01 | 40.26 | 1665.2 | Hunan | 31551.37 | 6822 | 11142.2 | 878.46 | 26.51 | 1447.6 | Henan | 40471.79 | 9532 | 23719.9 | 847.26 | 78.77 | 2879.6 | Jiangxi | 18499 | 4592 | 7698.24 | 555.96 | 18.02 | 1087.3 | Liaoning | 22246.9 | 4378 | 17336.4 | 6439.87 | 55.35 | 1984.9 | Shaanxi | 19399.59 | 3813 | 18373.6 | 2101.1 | 82.69 | 1221.7 | Gansu | 7200.37 | 2610 | 6557.06 | 1446.5 | 26.04 | 1098.7 | Ningxia | 3168.59 | 675 | 8907.37 | 477.12 | 20.65 | 878.33 | Xinjiang | 9649.7 | 2398 | 17359.3 | 2489.49 | 145.84 | 2160.3 | Heilongjiang | 15386.09 | 3799 | 13432.9 | 2123.9 | 35.82 | 868.97 | Inner Mongolia | 18128.1 | 2520 | 36499.8 | 383.67 | 39.15 | 2542.9 | Qinghai | 2572.49 | 593 | 1508.12 | 154.33 | 44.38 | 658 | Jilin | 14776.8 | 2733 | 9805.31 | 960.34 | 21.34 | 651.96 |
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(b) Initial values of evaluation indicators for each region |
| Area | Annual scattered coal consumption (10,000 tons) | Annual air PM2.5 average concentration (ug/m3) | Number of motor vehicles (unit) | Industrial gas price (yuan/cubic meter) | Residential gas price (yuan/cubic meter) |
| Beijing | 767.8 | 72.5 | 5671347 | 3.65 | 2.28 | Shanghai | 0 | 45 | 3727555 | 3.79 | 3.05 | Tianjin | 232.8 | 68.8 | 2848854 | 3.25 | 2.4 | Chongqing | 326.8 | 54.2 | 5151736 | 2.84 | 1.72 | Sichuan | 318.8 | 62.9 | 15007940 | 3.25 | 1.89 | Hebei | 2525.2 | 98.8 | 18170618 | 3.8 | 2.4 | Shanxi | 2587.3 | 66.1 | 6218106 | 3.6 | 2.26 | Shandong | 2021.3 | 75.6 | 25104790 | 4.14 | 2.7 | Jiangsu | 321.3 | 47.9 | 18666017 | 3.65 | 2.2 | Zhejiang | 343 | 48.9 | 16777770 | 4.84 | 2.4 | Anhui | 482.4 | 57.2 | 12068657 | 2.33 | 2.33 | Fujian | 87.2 | 27.4 | 9492548 | 3.42 | 3.65 | Hubei | 1339.1 | 57.1 | 11038649 | 3.41 | 2.53 | Hunan | 1872.1 | 53.7 | 11790367 | 3.88 | 2.45 | Henan | 1967.4 | 78.3 | 21504977 | 3.23 | 2.25 | Jiangxi | 1133.1 | 43.4 | 6801924 | 3.44 | 3.2 | Liaoning | 1031.2 | 53 | 8317637 | 3.9 | 3.3 | Shaanxi | 1783.7 | 71.4 | 6532087 | 2.3 | 1.98 | Gansu | 825.5 | 53.9 | 6012074 | 2.64 | 1.7 | Ningxia | 159.3 | 54.9 | 1960797 | 2.24 | 1.9 | Xinjiang | 1123.8 | 72.9 | 4840614 | 2.11 | 1.37 | Heilongjiang | 2455 | 50.9 | 4970344 | 4.3 | 2.8 | Inner Mongolia | 3062.6 | 40.3 | 5779153 | 2 | 1.82 | Qinghai | 183.5 | 49.2 | 1118458 | 1.7 | 1.48 | Jilin | 809.4 | 45.8 | 5172885 | 2.8 | 2.8 |
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(c) Initial values of evaluation indicators for each region |
| Area | Residential electricity price (yuan/kWh) | Large industrial electricity price (yuan/kWh) | General industrial and commercial electricity price (yuan/kWh) | Support policies | Electricity surplus and deficiency (million kilowatts) |
| Beijing | 0.488 | 0.635 | 0.8595 | 1 | 49.45 | Shanghai | 0.617 | 0.804 | 0.899 | 0.8 | 423.27 | Tianjin | 0.49 | 0.6759 | 0.8686 | 1 | 82.78 | Chongqing | 0.52 | 0.6198 | 0.8055 | 1 | 465.2 | Sichuan | 0.522 | 0.5394 | 0.8384 | 2 | 507.84 | Hebei | 0.52 | 0.5126 | 0.676 | 1 | 0.1826 | Shanxi | 0.477 | 0.4942 | 0.6763 | 0.8 | 1202.69 | Shandong | 0.547 | 0.6024 | 0.7489 | 1 | 896.85 | Jiangsu | 0.528 | 0.6151 | 0.8289 | 0.8 | 454.32 | Zhejiang | 0.538 | 0.6396 | 0.8549 | 0.8 | 583.9 | Anhui | 0.565 | 0.6074 | 0.8084 | 1 | 490.54 | Fujian | 0.498 | 0.5622 | 0.7573 | 1 | 644.55 | Hubei | 0.558 | 0.5748 | 0.86 | 0.8 | 637.27 | Hunan | 0.588 | 0.6112 | 0.8577 | 0.8 | 515.55 | Henan | 0.56 | 0.5912 | 0.7355 | 2 | 650.59 | Jiangxi | 0.6 | 0.6187 | 0.7652 | 1 | 201.62 | Liaoning | 0.5 | 0.5096 | 0.8203 | 0.8 | 630.92 | Shaanxi | 0.498 | 0.5351 | 0.7934 | 1 | 101.7 | Gansu | 0.51 | 0.4556 | 0.7788 | 0.8 | 611.53 | Ningxia | 0.449 | 0.388 | 0.6654 | 0.8 | 273.69 | Xinjiang | 0.469 | 0.35 | 0.516 | 0.8 | 2011.51 | Heilongjiang | 0.51 | 0.558 | 0.863 | 0.8 | 669.35 | Inner Mongolia | 0.5 | 0.495 | 0.79 | 0.8 | 650.45 | Qinghai | 0.377 | 0.3622 | 0.6501 | 0.8 | 602.07 | Jilin | 0.525 | 0.5486 | 0.884 | 0.8 | 637.52 |
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