Short-Term Power Load Forecasting Method Based on Improved Exponential Smoothing Grey Model

Table 3

Comparison of the actual values and the fitted values of electricity consumption.

Time/	Original data	The improved model		The model in [32]
		Fitted data	Error/%	Fitted data	Error/%
1	18701.75	18701.75	0	18701.75	0
2	22364.49	23037.539	3.01	22891.98	2.36
3	25947.70	24884.68	4.1	24724.49	4.71
4	27994.90	26963.009	3.69	26747.38	4.46
5	29973.13	29326.489	2.16	28999.09	3.25
6	32019.54	32046.51	0.08	31531.90	1.52
7	35337.03	35218.013	0.34	34418.07	2.60
8	40151.49	38967.811	2.95	41695.84	3.85