Dynamic Decomposition Analysis and Forecasting of Energy Consumption in Shanxi Province Based on VAR and GM (1, 1) Models

Table 3

Optimum lags selection.

Lag	LR	FPE	AIC	SC	HQ
0	NA	3.42e-12	-12.21171	-11.96628	-12.14659
1	42.78135	1.08e-17	-23.62624	-21.15367	-23.23556
2	22.49615	4.43e-17	-22.83377	-21.13407	-22.11754

Note: indicates lag order selected by the criterion