Research Article
Forecasting the Electricity Demand and Market Shares in Retail Electricity Market Based on System Dynamics and Markov Chain
Table 2
Direct trading electricity and grid’s electricity sales from 2013 to 2020 in Guangdong province under scenario
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| | Time | Total electricity consumption (TWh) | Grid’s electricity sales (TWh) | Ratio (%) | Direct trading electricity (TWh) | Ratio (%) |
| | 2013 | 483.0 | 480.6 | 99.3 | 2.4 | 0.7 | | 2014 | 523.5 | 508.5 | 96.0 | 15.0 | 4.0 | | 2015 | 531.1 | 508.4 | 94.6 | 22.7 | 5.4 | | 2016 | 549.0 | 507.0 | 92.3 | 42.0 | 7.7 | | 2017 | 568.4 | 483.8 | 85.1 | 84.6 | 14.9 | | 2018 | 591.7 | 259.4 | 43.8 | 332.3 | 56.2 | | 2019 | 618.7 | 269.8 | 43.6 | 348.9 | 56.4 | | 2020 | 648.7 | 284.0 | 43.8 | 364.7 | 56.2 |
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