Extension and Application of Credibility Models in Predicting Claim Frequency

Table 3

Optimal BMS based on extended Poisson credibility model.

Year	Number of claims
	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
0	1.00
1	0.88	2.17	3.45	4.73	6.02	7.30	8.58
2	0.79	1.94	1.94	3.09	4.23	5.38	6.53
3	0.71	1.75	2.79	3.83	4.87	5.91	6.94
4	0.65	1.60	2.55	3.50	4.44	5.39	6.34
5	0.60	1.47	2.34	3.22	4.09	4.96	5.83