Research Article

Predicting Stock Price Trend Using MACD Optimized by Historical Volatility

Table 3

Comparison of the specific values of the buying-selling points with the buy-and-hold strategy applied for 10 d.

ā€‰Test datePrice_(Test date)Price_(Test date_+_10 d)Predicted trendActual trend

MACD6216.596.23
90118.8719.05
197113.0513.22
207112.2510.31
229111.1110.52
243110.5610.81
26618.518.23

Win rate0.7143

MACD-HVIX90118.8719.05
207112.2510.31
242111.3010.56
26618.518.23
27416.957.19

Win rate0.8000