Research Article
Predicting Stock Price Trend Using MACD Optimized by Historical Volatility
Table 3
Comparison of the specific values of the buying-selling points with the buy-and-hold strategy applied for 10 d.
| ā | Test date | Price_(Test date) | Price_(Test date_+_10 d) | Predicted trend | Actual trend |
| MACD | 621 | 6.59 | 6.23 | | | 901 | 18.87 | 19.05 | | | 1971 | 13.05 | 13.22 | | | 2071 | 12.25 | 10.31 | | | 2291 | 11.11 | 10.52 | | | 2431 | 10.56 | 10.81 | | | 2661 | 8.51 | 8.23 | | |
| Win rate | 0.7143 |
| MACD-HVIX | 901 | 18.87 | 19.05 | | | 2071 | 12.25 | 10.31 | | | 2421 | 11.30 | 10.56 | | | 2661 | 8.51 | 8.23 | | | 2741 | 6.95 | 7.19 | | |
| Win rate | 0.8000 |
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