Towards Optimization of Boosting Models for Formation Lithology Identification
Lithology identification is an indispensable part in geological research and petroleum engineering study. In recent years, several mathematical approaches have been used to improve the accuracy of lithology classification. Based on our earlier work that assessed machine learning models on formation lithology classification, we optimize the boosting approaches to improve the classification ability of our boosting models with the data collected from the Daniudi gas field and Hangjinqi gas field. Three boosting models, namely, AdaBoost, Gradient Tree Boosting, and eXtreme Gradient Boosting, are evaluated with 5-fold cross validation. Regularization is applied to the Gradient Tree Boosting and eXtreme Gradient Boosting to avoid overfitting. After adapting the hyperparameter tuning approach on each boosting model to optimize the parameter set, we use stacking to combine the three optimized models to improve the classification accuracy. Results suggest that the optimized stacked boosting model has better performance concerning the evaluation matrix such as precision, recall, and f1 score compared with the single optimized boosting model. Confusion matrix also shows that the stacked model has better performance in distinguishing sandstone classes.
Well log data contain rich geological information, which is a synthesized reflection of formation lithology and physical properties. Therefore, geological interpretation of well log data and interpretation accuracy are crucial. Regular interpretation methods such as statistical approach have low accuracy and slow efficiency. A reliable way to understand subterranean lithology is obtaining core samples or cuttings from the reservoirs. However, it is expensive and there is always some depth uncertainty . Hence, it is urgent to explore more effective, accurate, and economical methods to make better use of well log data. Because of the development of different logging tools such as wireline and logging while drilling, we can collect numerous data in the petroleum industry . Computational techniques can help with the analyzing of the log data with high dimension. With the popularization and development of computer technology, sophisticated tasks such as lithology identification become more intelligent. In recent years, many researchers applied different algorithms on lithology identification and achieved great performance through updating and improving algorithms.
In recent years, there has been an increasing amount of literature on identifying lithology classes with machine learning approaches. Rogers et al. applied the back propagation approaches in neural network technique to obtain patterns to classify the lithology such as limestone, dolomite, and shale . Rafik and Kamel compared the prediction accuracy of three approaches, namely, neural networks technique, generalized additive model, and alternating conditional expectations, to predict permeability using well logs . Their results showed that the regression with alternating conditional expectations has the best performance. However, the neural network models are mainly applied to regression problems. The support vector machine models and random forest models have better performance in classification problems. Al-Anazi and Gates presented a support vector machine (SVM) classification approach to identify lithology in a variegated sandstone reservoir with fuzzy logic . Their result showed that the performance of SVM is better than neural network in lithology identification. Sebtosheikh and Salehi concluded that the prediction accuracy of an SVM classifier with normalized polynomial kernel function could be improved by using the tuning approach to obtain the optimum parameter set for the kernel function . Besides SVM, several studies have used random forest models to classify lithology. Cracknell and Reading concluded that random forest models have better lithology classification performance compared with other machine learning models based on the geological and geochemical data . Moreover, Ao et al. proposed a pruning random forest algorithm to select appropriate features on seismic interpretation, which improves the prediction accuracy and generalization of the model . Also, Bestagini et al. demonstrated that a gradient boosting classifier could help with the feature augmentation and improve the facies classification accuracy based on wireline logging measurements .
Existing research that identifies lithology classes uses different lithology features. Thus, examining the performance of various machine learning models from existing studies is technically challenging. Our previous work analyzed the performance of five machine learning models with the same lithology feature set and concluded that ensemble methods perform better than classifiers such as support vector machine and neural network with a small feature set. Boosting approach is one of the ensemble methods. Moreover, our previous results showed that boosting method has a better capability in distinguishing sandstone classes compared with other classifiers . Based on our previous work, this study conducts a meticulous evaluation over three boosting models, namely, AdaBoost, Gradient Tree Boosting (GTB), and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) with 5-fold cross validation. The models are optimized with regularization and stacking. Beyond the basic parameter set like the learning rate and the number of boosting stages, we investigate the impact of regularization parameters, namely, the fraction of samples to be applied for fitting the individual base learners and the number of features to be considered when determining the best split for individual base learners, on the performance of the model. Hyperparameter approach is then adopted to get the optimum values for the parameter set of each model. In the end, stacking is used to merge the three optimized boosting models. The performance of three boosting models and the stacked model is analyzed with accuracy scores and confusion matrix. Results show that the stacked model not only outperforms individual models in accuracy but also has better performance in distinguishing sandstone classes.
The paper is composed as follows. Section 2 provides a methodology for boosting models we used in this paper, together with the regularization and stacking optimization process. Section 3 describes the process that we train and optimize boosting models from the collected data. In Section 4, we presented the performance of individual models and the stacked model with accuracy matrix and confusion matrix. Section 5 summarizes the performance of the stacked model on classification accuracy and outlines future work.
With the enormously increased data, significantly improved algorithms, and powerful computing hardware, machine learning has excellent breakthroughs in many diverse areas such as recommendation systems , speech recognition , and natural language processing . Machine learning is defined as statistical approaches to detect the data patterns that can be used to predict the properties of unseen data . Supervised learning is one of the machine learning tasks that generate prediction models based on the labelled training data, which has two major learning divisions, namely, supervised regression and supervised classification. Our work performed the supervised classification on a labelled dataset with multiple classes from several logging wells. Boosting approach is adopted to solve the multiclass classification problem.
Boosting is one of the powerful machine learning procedures that produce accurate prediction rules by merging several fairly inaccurate rules . Different from the bagging approach , boosting sequentially generates base models and combines the base models into the final accurate model. Boosting trains the weak classifiers on a weighted dataset sequentially, and the performance of the previous classifiers determines the weight of each data item . Data items that are incorrectly predicted or misclassified by the preceding weak classifier would be assigned with a higher weight. Consider a two-class supervised classification problem with the training set , where each belongs to the instance set X and each belongs to the binary label set . Assuming the number of boosting iterations is M, boosting fits the model which can be written as a weighted majority vote as , where denotes the sequentially built model and denotes the learning rate for this mth model. The loss function is used to tell how well the model fits the data by measuring the difference between the predicted values and the true values y. Most of the boosting algorithms can be seen to find and to minimize the loss function at each iteration m.
The AdaBoost algorithm, articulated by Freund and Schapire in 1995, is one of the most useful boosting algorithms for classification problems . Algorithm 1 provides the algorithm for AdaBoost. Considering a two-class classification problem, each data point in the training set is provided with an weighting parameter for each , which is set to initially. At each stage of the training process, AdaBoost trains a new classifier using the data with different weighting parameters that are altered based on the performance of the previous classifier. Those misclassified data points get greater weights when trained in the next stage training. Finally, when the number of base classifiers reaches the number of iterations, these base classifiers are combined to form a strong classifier based on the weight of each base classifier and the corresponding base classifier .
Basic AdaBoost models are used to handle the binary classification problems. Hastie et al. proposed a new algorithm named stagewise additive modelling using a multiclass exponential loss function (SAMME) that extends the original AdaBoost algorithm to support multiclass classification . SAMME is similar to AdaBoost except for the computation for learning rate . In SAMME, is calculated as equation (1), where K stands for the number of classes in multiclass classification. So, the misclassified data points would gain more weight during the training process in SAMME than AdaBoost. Also in SAMME, the final model is also calculated differently with equation (2), which combines the weak classifiers and predicts the final class with the most got class k. In this case study, we applied SAMME in AdaBoost algorithm to perform the multiclass lithology classification task:
2.1.2. Gradient Tree Boosting
Gradient Tree Boosting (GTB) is another stepwise boosting approach that builds the final accurate model by adding base models sequentially. The base models of each training stage are trained to best reduce the loss function. Friedman proposed the gradient boosting method  and the refined generalized boosting model that uses regression tree as the base model . The GTB training algorithm is presented in Algorithm 2. The model is initialized with a value . A gradient descent process is applied at each training stage m to minimize the loss function . Assume there are M iterations. For each training stage, first-order Taylor expansion of loss function is evaluated and is calculated to get the direction to minimize . In GTB, regression tree models are taken as base learner as it can simplify the decision-making process . The regression tree model selects the feature with the highest information gain as the root node. Then, the root node splits and adds features with the next best information gain as its child node. This splitting and adding process is then repeated recursively for the new grandchild nodes. The input space is partitioned into joint regions with predicted constant values . The base learner is the sum of these predicted values. Then, is calculated to minimize the loss function. At last, the new model is updated with the sum of previous model and . However, a large number of iterations lead to poor generalized models. To solve this problem, Friedman’s algorithm uses a shrinkage parameter ρ on the calculated model to constrain the learning rate of the training process . The training process for the boosting model is slow and requires more boosting iterations to train the model.
2.1.3. eXtreme Tree Boosting
GTB algorithm adopts first-order Taylor expansion of loss function for approximate tree learning, while Chen and Guestrin proposed a scalable tree boosting algorithm eXtreme Tree Boosting (XGBoost) by using higher-order approximation to learn a better tree structure . The XGBoost algorithm works as Algorithm 3. For each iteration m in boosting steps, it calculates the multiplier and with first-order Taylor expansion and higher-order Taylor expansion and uses the multiplier to calculate the leaf weights that determine the weak tree model structure. Then, the weak tree models are combined to generate the final boosting model .
The task of machine learning is to fit an accuracy model to describe a pattern for both training data or untrained data. If a trained model is excessively complex and too fit to the training data, the overfitting occurs so that the trained model has poor predictive performance. Regularization technique is used to control the model complexity and improve the generalization of the model, which is a trade-off between training loss and model complexity. Regularization can be seen to minimize the loss function where denotes the complexity of the model and C denotes the penalization parameter on model complexity. Lasso regularization (L1) and Ridge regularization (L2) are the most commonly used regularization techniques in supervised learning. L1 regularization can be seen to minimize the loss function , where the penalization C is applied on the absolute value of the weights . L2 regularization is used minimize the loss function . The penalization C determines how much to penalize the weights to make the model simpler and avoid overfitting. In L1 regularization, different penalization parameters can be tried on different independent subsample of data to get the optimal value. Chen and Guestrin have used several regularization techniques to control the complexity of the tree model, namely, regularization on the basis function expansion, regularization on the individual tree model, and randomization, based on L2 regularization . Chen’s approach tried to minimize the objective function in each iteration, and they used the second-order approximation to quickly optimize the objective in general setting . In Chen’s approach, they expand with equation (3). Here, denotes the number of leaves in the tree and denotes the L2 norm of leaf scores. By expanding , the optimal solution is to minimize objective in equation (4), which can be rewritten to equation (5) with a second-order approximation . Then, the optimal leaf weight of leaf j can be computed by equation (6). In this case study, we applied L1 regularization with subsampling on the GTB model and L2 regularization on the XGBoost model:
2.3. Stacked Generalization
Ensemble methods are learning strategies that take a weighted vote over the predictions of a collection of constructed classifiers to classify new examples . These stacked classifiers should be accurate and diverse to make the ensemble of the classifiers with better performance than any of the individual classifiers . The stacking method works as shown in Figure 1, which implements hard and soft voting for the classifiers. In hard voting, the final class label is predicted as the label with the majority vote by the classification models, while soft voting averages the class probabilities to predict the final class. In this case study, we applied soft voting with equal weights for the AdaBoost classifier, Gradient Tree Boosting classifier, and XGBoost classifier.
Overfitting and underfitting are two critical issues for learning models. Overfitting occurs when the model is too complicated and fits the training data too well, which has high variance and low bias. Underfitting, on the contrary, has a high bias but low variance because the model is too simple. Evaluating the accuracy of classifiers is helpful to predict the result of unseen data . Cross validation is one of the evaluation approaches with resampling procedure on a limited number of data. A k-fold cross validation splits the dataset D into k subsets with approximate equal size randomly. For each iteration , the classifier is trained on data and tested on . The accuracy of the model is estimated by averaging the k results.
There are several evaluation metrics to measure the performance of a multilabel classification model, namely, accuracy score, precision, recall, and f1 score. Accuracy score measures the portion of the classes that are correctly predicted. Precision defines the ratio of positive classes that are predicted by the model correctly to all predicted positive classes. Recall defines the ratio of positive classes that are predicted by the model correctly to all actual positive classes. The f1 score is a balanced average of the precision and recall, which can be presented as
In this case study, a generalizable multiclass classification model is built to identify lithology classes from different areas. We use 5-fold cross validation with accuracy score and f1 score as the evaluation matrix to control the model complexity and improve the model generalization.
3. Case Study
Ordos Basin, which is located in the central-west of China, is a large multicycle cratonic basin. The proved reserves of natural gas, coal-bed gas, and coal in Ordos Basin are ranking first in China. The relevant research data are collected from the Carboniferous and Permian clastic strata, which are the main gas-bearing continental strata in Ordos Basin. The major lithologies of these formations are sandstone, mudstone, and coal. Also, a small amount of carbonate rocks can be found. The data used in this study are obtained from two gas fields, namely, the Daniudi gas field (DGF) and Hangjinqi gas field (HGF), which are two productive gas fields in north Ordos Basin. A large amount of log data and core analysis reports of the corresponding depth of twelve wells are used to identify lithologies.
In this study, based on the grounds of the sandstone grain diameter classification of the oil industry standard of China, five sandstone types are classified in the light of different grain size ranges. The lithologies are divided into five types, namely, sandstone, siltstone (S), mudstone (M), coal (C), and carbonate rock (CR). Based on the grain diameters of the sandstones, we categorized the sandstone classes into pebbly sandstone (PS), coarse sandstone (CS), medium sandstone (MS), and fine sandstone (FS). Seven well log parameters are collected from twelve wells of the two gas fields, which provide information of characteristics of the rock or sediment in a borehole. Table 1 shows the log parameters with their descriptions. Thus, we classify eight lithology classes in the DGF area and seven lithology classes in the HGF area during model selection and evaluation.
3.2. Data Processing
We collected 915 and 1,238 log readings from several wells in the DGF area and HGF area, respectively. Seven logging parameters mentioned in Section 3.1 are extracted to build the training and test dataset. With the collected data, we created two datasets, one with 915 instances of data with seven features and the other with 1,238 instances of data with seven features. We used the data from the DGF to train and optimize the boosting models; then, the performance of the optimized model was evaluated by using the datasets from both areas. During the training process, the data were randomly split into two datasets, which takes 80% as the training set and 20% as the test set.
3.3. Multiclass Classification Model Training
In this case study, we evaluated the performance of unoptimized boosting models, namely, AdaBoost, Gradient Tree Boosting, and XGBoost. Then, we optimized the Gradient Tree Boosting approach and XGBoost with the regularization technique. In the end, we optimized the three classifiers by applying soft voting with equal weights on them. It is essential for supervised models to obtain appropriate parameter set to be trained to predict the unseen data. This case study used tuning as a parameter selection process to improve the model classification accuracy. The tuning process uses a performance matrix to evaluate the same model with various parameter sets and selects the parameter set that has the best classification accuracy. Grid search approach was adopted with the accuracy score to optimize the parameter set. We iterate through all the combinations of the parameter set to get the best one. As mentioned in Section 2, the boosting model requires two parameters to be tuned, namely, the number of iterations M and the learning rate . In regression tree models, the parameter of a tree needs to be tuned, namely, the minimum number of samples required at a leaf node, maximum depth of the individual tree, and the minimum number of samples required to split an internal node. In addition, the parameter of regularization also needs to be tuned, namely, the parameters that constraint and penalize the complexities of individual tress and subsampling of row and column. Table 2 provides the parameters that require tuning in the AdaBoost classifier, GTB classifier, and XGBoost classifier, including the parameters for regularization of models.
The grid search will train the data through all the permutation of the parameter set. It takes a lot of time and calculation power to train the data if the parameter set is large. Narrowing down the range of parameter set is helpful to improve the training efficiency and accuracy. In this case study, we adopted the validation curve and test set deviance to determine the range of the parameter set.
Validation scores show whether the trained model is overfitting or underfitting for the parameter values. When the model is underfitting, the validation score increases with the training score and vice versa. We used 5-fold cross validation to calculate the validation curve for AdaBoost and XGBoost to determine the proper parameter search range. Figures 2 and 3 show the validation curve for parameters that need to be tuned for the AdaBoost classifier and XGBoost classifier, respectively. Results indicate that both the tree model parameters as well as the regularization parameter require tuning as the validation curve does not change dramatically. Table 2 shows the determined search range of parameter of AdaBoost and XGBoost.
Test set deviance was also applied to determine the search range for tree model parameters and regularization parameters based on the boosting iterations. Figure 4 presents the test set deviance for the GTB model with different parameter sets. We used the cross-entropy loss to measure the performance of a model over various stages of the boosting iteration. Results show that the test deviance converges within 200 boosting iterations for the parameter set. We determined the search range for boosting iterations is within 100–200. The fourth figure shows that a smaller learning rate will get a better result. Besides, the tree model parameters require tuning as test deviance are almost the same for different parameter values. We determined the search range for GTB in Table 2.
The tuning process iterates through all the combinations of the parameter set within the search range. Each time, the training data are trained with the specific parameter set with 5-fold cross validation. And the optimum parameter set that has the best cross validation score was selected to train the data from the DGF and HGF area. Table 2 presents the optimum parameter set for the three classification models.
3.4. Prediction Evaluation
To prove that the optimized boosting model works on general lithology classification problems, we evaluate the model with lithology datasets from two different areas. Besides, random seeds are also examined in the model to promise the generalization of the optimized boosting model. For the two datasets from two areas, we trained the data ten times and calculated the matrix of precision, recall, and f1 score to assess the performance of AdaBoost, GTB, XGBoost, and the stacked model. The data are split into the training set and test set randomly with a random seed in each training iteration. The training data are trained on four models with the optimum parameter set. Test data are then used to calculate the performance matrix. After ten training iterations, average scores of precision, recall, and f1 score are calculated to analyze the performance of different models. Beyond the performance matrix, confusion matrix of each model is calculated over the two areas. We used the confusion matrix to present which lithology class is challenging to identify and which kind of lithology classes are difficult to be distinguished.
4. Results and Analysis
This section analyzes the classification results of the three classifiers as well as the stacked model. Initially, the grid search result of the best parameter value set for the four classifiers is presented. Next, the evaluation matrix that contains precision, recall, and f1 score is assessed over the models trained with the best hyperparameter in the AdaBoost classifier, GTB classifier, and XGBoost classifier. Evaluation is also provided in the stacked model that has soft voting over the three classifiers with the best parameter set. Finally, we develop confusion matrices in two areas by comparing the predicted labels from four classifiers with true labels from the test set, which presents the classification performance of each classifier on each lithology class.
4.1. Tuning Process
Table 2 shows the optimum parameter set for the three classification models. Results show that the performance of three boosting models is profoundly affected by the learning rate that shrinks the contribution of each base model within the boosting model. A small value of learning rate leads to underfitting as the penalty imposed on the base models is small, but if there is no shrinkage used in the boosting stages, a huge variance will occur. The number of boosting iterations is also a significant parameter for boosting approaches. Results show that 200–300 boosting iterations are enough to train the model with the specified boosting model. More boosting iterations will make the model better fit the training data at the expense of increased large variance. Regarding parameters related to the tree structure, smaller value of the depth of the tree models will cause underfitting for the model. Other parameters will not cause the model losing classification accuracy.
4.2. Accuracy Matrix
The performances of the four boosting models are evaluated over the training set with the 5-fold cross validation approach, which takes precision, recall, and f1 score as the evaluation matrix. Tables 3 and 4 show the evaluation matrix of each boosting model for each lithology class in the DGF and HGF, respectively. The results of the performance matrix show that the prediction accuracy in the HGF area is higher than that in the DGF area. This is because that HGF has fewer classes to classifier, thus the prediction accuracy would be higher. Another important finding is that the optimized stacked boosting model achieves best classification accuracy compared with the other three individual boosting models in both areas. Tables 3 and 4 compare the average prediction accuracy of three boosting models and the stacked model. As shown in the tables, the f1 scores of optimized stacked boosting model are 83.2% and 86.4%, respectively, which are higher than all the individual boosting models. This proves that the performance of the stacked boosting model is better in accuracy and generalization. Moreover, Tables 3 and 4 present the abilities of four models to distinguish different lithology classes. Looking at the prediction accuracy for C and M, it is apparent that all boosting models have a higher classification accuracy for coal class and mudstone class compared to those of other classes. The accuracy scores indicate that there exist some identical lithology properties to identify coal and mudstone classes. Our previous research shows that the ensemble methods are applicable to identify lithology classes given the number of logging data is limited. The gradient tree boosting model performs better in classifying the four sandstone classes than the SVM classifier, neural network classifier, and random forest classifier . In this case study, the average precision scores of GTB classifier on the sandstone classes in DGF and HGF are 76.1% and 83.%, respectively, while the average precision scores of the optimized stacked boosting model are 77.5% and 84.2%, respectively. These results show that the optimized boosting model has better performance in classifying sandstone classes than the GTB classifiers.
4.3. Confusion Matrix
Figures 5 and 6 show the confusion matrix that compares the class labels predicted by the four trained models and true labels on the DGF and HGF test dataset. To eliminate the effect of CR in the confusion matrix, we remove the CR classification result in the DGF area. The diagonal of the matrix presents the percentage of lithology classes that are correctly classified. The rest of the matrix shows the percentage of corresponding classes that are misclassified to other classes. It is evident in the matrix that only a small amount of C and M classes would be misclassified to other classes. In both areas, the classification accuracy for M and C classes is over 95.0% and 85.0%, respectively. However, the four sandstone classes are easy to be misclassified with each other. All the models have difficulty in distinguishing the sandstone classes. For example, with the GTB model in the DGF area, 30% of CS class would be misclassified to PS class and 16.7% of CS class would be misclassified to MS class. And this is the case for all the four models. It is likely that the grain diameters of sandstone are challenging to ascertain in some circumstances. And it is possible that human error is involved in the labelling work that labels the sandstone classes. However, the stacked model has the best classification accuracy in classifying sandstone classes. In the DGF area, the average classification accuracy for AdaBoost, GTB, and XGBoost are 77.7%, 77.22%, and 79.65%, respectively. However, the classification accuracy for the stacked model is 81.15%. The same result applies to the HGF area. The average classification accuracy for AdaBoost, GTB, and XGBoost is 80.1%, 81.75%, and 81.73%, respectively. And the classification accuracy for the stacked model is 82.73%. As shown in Figure 5, three individual models have different classification performances in different sandstone classes. The GTB model can classify the PS class with 95% of accuracy while the other models only achieve 85%. Also, the AdaBoost model can classify the MS class with 84.8% while other models can only achieve 81.8%. The stacked model can balance the advantages of three individual models and construct the model with the best performance. It achieves the 95% of accuracy for PS class and 84.8% for MS class. The same rule applies to the HGF area. Overall, the stacked model has better classification accuracy in sandstone classes compared with the individual models.
In this study, well logging data acquired from several wells from two gas fields in the Ordos Basin were used to train the boosting models for the multiclass lithology classification problem. The performance of three individual boosting models and their stacked model was evaluated through classification accuracy, precision, recall, f1 score, and confusion matrix. During the training process, the grid search approach was adopted to optimize the parameter set for boosting models. We used the test deviance approach and validation curves to narrow down the search range of the parameter set. In order to prove the generalization of the result, the experiment was performed ten times in two different areas. Each time, all the data items were mixed and then split into training sets and test sets randomly, where training sets are used to train the boosting model and stacked boosting model with 5-fold cross validation and evaluation matrix. Testing sets are used to evaluate the performance of each model with the confusion matrix.
Results show that the stacked boosting model performs the best for lithology classification compared with other individual boosting models when the number of lithology characteristics is limited. The test deviance result also shows that 200–300 might be enough for the number of boosting iterations for GTB. A large number of boosting iterations will cause overfitting in AdaBoost and GTB. Moreover, the stacked boosting model could avoid overfitting by applying regularization on GTB and XGBoost. Our previous work shows that the difficulty for multiclass lithology classification is the sandstone classification. The confusion matrix shows that the optimized stacked boosting model has better performance in distinguishing sandstone classes, while the GTB and AdaBoost classifiers have relatively lower classification accuracy. The optimized stacked boosting model has a relatively high classification accuracy, which could assist in lithology identification and improve work efficiency. However, as the ensemble method requires the trained boosting models for the soft voting, it is relatively slow to construct. As the boosting approach trains the final model step by step, more work can be done to develop a pretrained model as the base model for the multiclass lithology classification problem. Also, more data with more features could be collected to improve the classification accuracy for sandstone classes.
The data used to support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author upon request.
Conflicts of Interest
The authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest.
This work was supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (grant no. 61772090) and China Scholarship Council (CSC) (grant CSC no. 201708060147). The authors would like to thank the Huabei branch of Sinopec Group for providing the resources used in this study.
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