Research Article

Prediction of Bridge Component Ratings Using Ordinal Logistic Regression Model

Table 8

Performance improvements by ordinal model compared with multiple linear model.

Model Statistics201220132014
DeckSuperstruc.Substruc.DeckSuperstruc.Substruc.DeckSuperstruc.Substruc.

Sum of Absolute Residuals13.5%21.6%7.56%13.3%19.2%4.71%12.9%19.6%5.25%

Sum of Residual Squares21.0%27.0%12.4%21.4%26.2%9.7%22.0%26.8%11.0 %

Bias5.61%6.15%4.43%6.66%7.01%4.36%5.7%5.28%4.71%

Accuracy1.25%2.79%0.51%2.4%3.4%0.17%1.26%1.64%0.43%

Exact Forecasts9.33%19.4%5.93%8.01%15.6%1.59%6.46%16.0%1.5%