Research Article

Prediction of Bridge Component Ratings Using Ordinal Logistic Regression Model

Table 9

Bridge condition measures required by MAP-21 comparison results.

ā€‰DeckSuperstructureSubstructureOverall
GoodPoorGoodPoorGoodPoorGoodPoor

2012 Observed48.14%3.14%70.38%3.58%54.26%11.84%44.82%1.87%

2012 Estimate (Multilinear Regression Model)60.85%0.00%81.71%0.00%62.89%0.90%54.42%0.00%

2012 Estimate (Ordinal Model)51.32%1.10%73.65%0.53%61.95%2.67%48.94%0.42%

2013 Observed47.07%3.11%69.58%3.51%52.56%12.07%44.48%2.04%

2013 Estimate (Multilinear Regression Model)58.38%0.00%80.68%0.00%62.39%2.24%54.79%0.00%

2013 Estimate (Ordinal Model)49.98%0.13%73.72%0.27%60.22%5.32%49.11%0.13%

2014 Observed45.14%3.21%68.37%3.18%51.55%11.63%43.05%1.75%

2014 Estimate (Multilinear Regression Model)57.14%0.00%80.17%0.00%61.38%1.6%54.49%0.00%

2014 Estimate (Ordinal Model)48.85%0.10%72.99%0.50%59.59%5.15%48.27%0.09%