Research Article

Investigating the Effect of Oil Revenue Shocks on Business Cycles and the Synchronism of Cycles with Selected OECD Countries

Table 5

Short-term estimation results: ARDL (1, 0, 0, 0, 1).

VariablesCoefficientst-statisticProb

CYCLE (−1)0.34441.69530.1041
LG−0.2824−2.95450.0073
LRE0.026422.30440.0310
SHOCKP−69.5772−2.55090.0182
SHOCKT−19.7234−2.18900.0395
SHOCKT (−1)−24.7256−2.49260.0207
C0.87852.88380.0086