An Adaptive Control Combination Forecasting Method for Time Series Data

Table 9

Statistical test of MAPE_k (k = 1,2, …, 134) on AEP dataset.

Models	Max value of MAPEk (%)	Standard deviation of MAPEk (%)	MAPEall (%)	Count {MAPEk1.094}	Per (=Count/134) (%)
PSI	2.390	0.401	1.270	46	34
ES	4.519	0.697	3.127	0	0
ARIMA	3.018	0.358	1.314	35	26
MA	6.416	0.937	4.617	0	0
BP-NET	4.589	0.689	1.959	10	7
GM	66.269	10.719	22.116	0	0
IV	2.891	0.319	1.141	67	50
MSEI	3.130	0.392	1.406	24	18
SWA	9.842	1.464	2.892	0	0
ACCF	2.270	0.279	1.094	76	57