Analysis of Factors Affecting Freight Demand Based on Input-Output Model

Table 10

Comparison of China freight volume forecasts under three scenarios.

Scenario	Forecast for 2035	2017–2035 average annual growth rate of freight traffic (%)	Forecast for 2050	2035–2050 average annual growth rate of freight traffic (%)
Baseline scenario	644.85	1.65	725.18	0.79
Slow economic development scenario	639.7	1.60	719.36	0.79
Faster economic development scenario	649.99	1.69	739.44	0.86

Data source: author’s calculation, forecast unit: 100 million tons.