Analysis of Factors Affecting Freight Demand Based on Input-Output Model

Table 12

Comparison of the predicted value of freight volume with the baseline predicted value when the complete consumption coefficient remains unchanged.

	Forecast for 2035		Forecast for 2050
	Baseline forecast	Predicted value when the complete consumption coefficient does not change	Baseline forecast	Predicted value when the complete consumption coefficient does not change
Primary industry	25.85	18.14	25.57	13.3
Secondary industry	510.88	317.02	553.92	459.76
Tertiary industry	107.85	45.25	145.69	116.55
Total freight volume	644.58	380.41	725.18	589.6

Data source: China’s National Bureau of Statistics and the author’s calculation.