Research Article
Natural Gas Price Forecasting by a New Hybrid Model Combining Quadratic Decomposition Technology and LSTM Model
Table 5
Numerical results of multistep ahead forecasting with a single prediction model.
| Prediction horizon | Error indicator | Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 | Model 5 |
| One-step ahead | | 0.9802 | 1.0545 | 0.9468 | 1.1615 | 0.9107 | | 0.3454 | 0.4440 | 0.4196 | 0.3743 | 0.3401 | | 0.1039 | 0.1545 | 0.1268 | 0.1176 | 0.1029 |
| Three-step ahead | | 1.0411 | 1.1334 | 1.0308 | 1.3277 | 0.9986 | | 0.4933 | 0.5073 | 0.4923 | 0.4959 | 0.4805 | | 0.1507 | 0.1634 | 0.1526 | 0.1602 | 0.1511 |
| Five-step ahead | | 1.0559 | 1.2153 | 1.1014 | 1.8051 | 1.0366 | | 0.5880 | 0.6451 | 0.5619 | 0.7097 | 0.5577 | | 0.1910 | 0.2193 | 0.1736 | 0.2353 | 0.1829 |
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