Application of General Circulation Models to Assess the Potential Impact of Climate Change on Potential Distribution and Relative Abundance of Melanoplus sanguinipes (Fabricius) (Orthoptera: Acrididae) in North America

Table 2

Baseline(CRU) and general circulation model (NCAR273 CCSM, MIROC-H, CSIRO MARK 3.0) scenarios and resulting Ecoclimatic Inex (EI), temperature (TI), moisture (MI), diapause (DI), growth index (GI), cold stress (CS), heat stress (HS), number of weeks GI was positive (Weeks GI Positive), and core distribution, for Melanoplus sanguinipes at six locations.

Location	Scenario	EI	TI	MI	DI	GI	CS	HS	Weeks GI positive	Core distribution
Fairbanks, AK	NCAR273 CCSM	20.1	22.3	83.2	38.5	20.7	2.9	0	18.2	97
	CSIRO MARK 3.0	18.3	22.9	83.2	40.1	20.9	12.7	0	18	87.1
	MIROC-H	18.2	21.5	87.3	37.7	20	8.6	0	17.1	91.3
	CRU	5.4	12	88.6	33.1	11.1	54.2	0	13.9	45.7
Peace River, AB	NCAR273 CCSM	23.8	34.2	71.9	42.1	23.8	0	0	20.7	97.3
	CSIRO MARK 3.0	29.2	33.2	77.9	43.4	29.4	0.1	0	22.4	98.8
	MIROC-H	25	30.2	79.5	41.3	25	0	0	21.2	98.6
	CRU	14.7	21.8	80.2	36.9	16.5	9.6	0	19	87.9
Saskatoon, SK	NCAR273 CCSM	34.9	37.8	92.3	45.6	34.9	0	0	23.8	100
	CSIRO MARK 3.0	36.3	37.5	94.3	46.5	36.3	0	0	24.2	100
	MIROC-H	35.2	36.6	91.7	44.6	35.2	0	0	23.3	100
	CRU	26.7	30.7	96.1	41.8	28.8	8.2	0	21.8	91.8
Gillette, WY	NCAR273 CCSM	24.4	29.9	96.9	48.8	24.4	0	0	19.7	100
	CSIRO MARK 3.0	24.1	30.1	98.2	50.2	24.9	0	3.9	18.3	96.1
	MIROC-H	24.9	30.4	95.8	47.1	24.9	0	0	20	100
	CRU	31.7	35.2	98.5	44	31.7	0	0	23	100
Lincoln, NE	NCAR273 CCSM	10.8	31.6	64	55.8	11.3	0	2.6	14.4	95.9
	CSIRO MARK 3.0	12.2	28.6	91.7	57.2	18.8	0	40.8	16.7	65.7
	MIROC-H	15.9	30.3	77.6	54.5	16.3	0	1.9	18.8	98.1
	CRU	21.3	39	70.3	52.5	21.3	0	0	24.3	100
Lubbock, TX	NCAR273 CCSM	14.1	37.4	96.2	43.7	18.1	0	50.1	13.8	58.3
	CSIRO MARK 3.0	5.2	34.8	98.6	44.2	15.5	0	167.7	11.5	21
	MIROC-H	9.5	33.9	97.5	47.3	17.9	0	95	13.4	40.2
	CRU	30.6	39.3	98.7	57.1	31.1	0	1.6	22.1	98.4