Research Article
Forecasting the Influence of Climate Change on Agroecosystem Services: Potential Impacts on Honey Yields in a Small-Island Developing State
Table 2
Results of stepwise multiple regressions with predictors retained in each of the four predictive models of honey production.
| | | Model |
Model parameter
| 1
(all years and municipalities) | 2
(all years but not all municipalities) | 3
(yearly average and all municipalities) | 4
(yearly average but not all municipalities) |
| | Intercept |
3.6328
|
4.6138
|
5.1130
|
6.3048
| | Isothermality (Bio 3) | | −0.0099 | | | | Temperature seasonality (Bio 4) | −0.0021 | −0.0043 | −0.0037 | −0.0083 | | Maximum temperature of warmest month (Bio 5) | | |
0.1130
| | | Minimum temperature of coldest month (Bio 6) | | |
0.0715
|
0.0594
| | Mean temperature of wettest quarter (Bio 8) | −0.0647 | −0.0688 | −0.2382 | −0.1863 | | Precipitation of wettest month (Bio 13) | |
0.0004
|
0.0039
|
0.0012
| | Precipitation seasonality (Bio 15) | | | −0.0285 | | | Precipitation of driest quarter (Bio 17) | | | −0.0033 | | | Precipitation of warmest quarter (Bio 18) | | | −0.0009 | | | P | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | | R
2 |
0.1903
|
0.1847
|
0.5276
|
0.4984
|
|
|
