Strategic Planning of Rural Development Based on Foresight Methodologies
Table 1
Consumption and production of basic agrofood products in the non-Chernozem zone of the region over time, thousand tons.
Food products
Consumption
Production
Cost of living
Norms of the World Health Organization
Scenarios of development
1
2
3
Short-term prospects (until 2022)
Bread
44
53
399
408
413
Potatoes
39
42
290
332
342
Vegetables
47
61
63
76
79
Meat
23
31
64
67
70
Milk
132
157
510
521
542
Eggs, million pcs.
89
106
99
100
104
Seed oil
3.8
5.7
0.6
0.7
0.8
Mid-term prospects (until 2025)
Bread
44
52
367
419
434
Potatoes
40
42
212
341
362
Vegetables
47
61
52
78
87
Meat
23
30
62
682
76
Milk
131
155
502
527
593
Eggs, million pcs.
88
105
95
103
112
Seed oil
3.8
5.7
0.5
0.8
1.0
Long-term prospects (until 2022)
Bread
43
51
346
428
452
Potatoes
38
41
152
347
391
Vegetables
46
60
43
81
94
Meat
22
30
59
70
87
Milk
129
153
497
531
642
Eggs, million pcs.
86
103
92
106
126
Seed oil
3.7
5.6
0.4
0.9
1.2
The volume of production of farms of all categories is taken into account in forecast calculations. Development scenarios: 1: pessimistic, 2: safe development, 3: sustainable development.
