Solution Monitoring Evaluated by Proliferation Risk Assessment and Fuzzy Optimization Analysis for Safeguards in a Reprocessing Process

Figure 6

Stochastic game calculation for the deterrence effect on the inspector and operator. In case (a), the increase of MUF variance due to the measurement error induces the increase of ARL, so that it is assumed as the increase of the payoff parameter of 𝑐 and 𝑑 in Table 1. In case (b), the operator’s concern about the detection between tanks 1 and 2 is assumed as the increase of payoff parameter of 𝑐 in Table 1.

(a)  Operator’s choices as increasing MUF uncertainty

(b) Operator’s and inspector’s choices as increasing concern