Research Article
Quantifying Spillover Risk with an Integrated Bat-Rabies Dynamic Modeling Framework
Table 1
Summary of model parameters.
| | Parameter | Value | References |
| | Roost recovery rate (days−1), and | 1.71 10−4 and 1.61 10−4 | [26] | | Detection time in farm (days), | ( = 3.14, = 1.24), shifted by 25 | [27–29] | | Farm recovery rate (days−1), | 16.44 10−3 (if roost control performed) | Empirical observation by Dr Dias, from experience in São Paulo, such as in [11, 22] | | 5.48 10−3 (if roost control not performed) | | Roost-to-roost transmission rate, βRR | 8.99 10−2–13.361; see Figure S5 in SI2 for posterior distribution | Calibrated | | Roost-to-farm transmission rate, βRF | 154.37–693.801; see Figure S5 in SI2 for posterior distribution | Calibrated |
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1Calibrated with distances in meters. 2SI stands for Supporting Information.
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