Research Article

Simulating the Spread of Peste des Petits Ruminants in Kazakhstan Using the North American Animal Disease Spread Model

Table 3

Summary output data of different scenarios of PPR spread in the Republic of Kazakhstan and economic parameters (mean values and 95% CI boundaries).

ScenarioThe initially infected farmTotal cost of animals slaughtering (USD)Total cost of vaccination (USD)

East high risk clusterSmall26,616 (0–1,454,210)2,572 (0–12,345)
Large28,483 (0–184,023)2,034 (0–10,355)

South high risk clusterSmall1,073,823 (0–3,325,365)101,099 (0–331,022)
Large779,974 (0–35,526,118)82,569 (0–344,176)

West high risk clusterSmall44,258 (0–195,571)3,249 (0–12,910)
Large69,943 (0–430,672)3,496 (0–15,173)

The smallest farm26,666 (0–199,110)2,723 (0–19,263)
The most remote farm in the least risk area41,407 (0–168,479)1,245 (0–4,541)