Investigating the Influence of Anthropogenic Forcing on Observed Mean and Extreme Sea Level Pressure Trends over the Mediterranean Region
Figure 4
Results from consistency of anomaly patterns. Blue bars: seasonal centred regression coefficients (-axes) of observed SLP changes onto the GS signal patterns estimated from 17 climate change projections (-axes) based on the SRES A1B scenario. Red bars: regression coefficient of observed SLP onto the ensemble mean of 17 ANT simulations (conducted with 9 models). The bars show the 90th percentile uncertainty ranges of regression coefficients derived from model-based estimates of natural (internal) variability (206 nonoverlapping 30-year segments derived from 6200-year control runs). The solid lines mark regression indices equal to unity indicating consistency with GS forcing.
