Research Article

Seasonality and Dynamic Spatial Contagion of Air Pollution in 42 Chinese Cities

Table 2

DCC estimation results with seasonality dummies.
(a) Central China

API AR ARCH(α)GARCH(β) (10)

Changsha, regional, and national

Changsha84.18† 
  (31.90)
−14.46†    (−4.60)3.30
  (0.97)
0.98
  (0.26)
0.67†      (33.02)250.30†  
  (5.03)
−152.69†       (−3.81)−59.93
  (−1.69)
−10.65
  (−0.24)
0.40†  
  (5.32)
0.37†    (5.18)0.03†  
  (4.02)
0.87†      (21.21)3.595.9
Regional81.50† 
  (33.47)
−16.22† 
  (−5.89)
−2.63
  (−0.82)
3.85
  (1.28)
0.74†    (54.58)61.63†    (2.93)−48.50†    (−2.74)−23.99
  (−1.59)
−12.66
  (−0.77)
0.13†    (2.07)0.73†    (7.80)2.224.12
National69.86†    (38.40)−10.80†    (−5.15)−2.98
  (−1.33)
5.32†    (2.40)0.83†    (68.03)12.27†    (2.51)−9.84†    (−2.42)−4.78
  (−1.56)
0.50
  (0.17)
0.50†    (0.17)0.80†    (12.13)14.816.35*

Hefei, regional, and national

Hefei82.47†    (18.78)0.08
  (0.02)
2.31
  (0.47)
−16.87†     (−3.76)0.60†    (35.11)353.46† 
  (3.65)
−51.99
  (−0.74)
−7.16
  (−0.10)
−218.45†    (−2.89)0.40†    (2.96)0.22
  (1.55)
0.01†     (4.22)0.96†     (81.52)4.164.19
Regional83.48† 
  (45.30)
2.57
  (0.99)
−0.75
  (−0.28)
−15.08†    (−7.00)0.75†    (56.38)99.23†    (3.96)−5.93
  (−0.29)
−19.48
  (−1.00)
−70.01†    (−3.22)0.19†    (5.74)0.49†    (6.83)  3.324.9
National49.53†    (45.06)4.98†    (3.21)−2.09
  (−1.43)
−6.17†    (−4.86)0.81† 
  (64.30)
1.83  (2.42)−0.19
  (−0.32)
−1.66† 
  (−3.90)
−1.49  (2.45)0.06  (2.35)0.93† 
  (30.22)
  36.84†   48.18†  

Nanchang, regional, and national

Nanchang70.03† 
  (37.56)
−11.22†    (−5.15)1.35
  (0.53)
3.29
  (1.32)
0.66†    (45.11)37.28  (2.49)−23.34  (−2.40)−7.13
  (−1.08)
−4.36
  (−0.63)
0.15†    (3.18)0.78† 
  (12.11)
0.001
  (0.77)
0.99†    (44.85)2.7313.18
Regional86.18† 
  (31.18)
−16.05†    (−5.15)0.56
  (0.16)
4.48
  (1.33)
0.74†    (55.09)150.75  (2.55)−111.46  (−2.30)−59.29
  (−1.50)
−35.52
  (−0.92)
0.19†    (3.73)0.53†    (4.28)1.054.34
National69.73†    (40.41)−11.07†    (−5.51)−2.03
  (−0.90)
4.95  (2.28)0.81† 
  (63.94)
24.89  (2.35)−18.87  (−2.28)−8.98
  (−1.61)
−0.06
  (−0.01)
0.14†    (3.88)0.67†    (6.29)19.65†   25.84†  

Wuhan, regional, and national

Wuhan91.54† 
  (29.18)
−21.13†    (−5.96)−3.86
  (−0.97)
7.19*  (1.71)0.68†    (44.34)84.21
  (1.64)
−71.05
  (−1.52)
−39.78
  (−0.97)
−32.21
  (−0.84)
0.03
  (0.72)
0.88† 
  (13.70)
0.04  (2.15)0.83†     (6.10)3.193.94
Regional78.82†    (39.56)−13.82†    (−6.15)0.71
  (0.27)
2.65
  (1.06)
0.73†    (52.61)81.45†    (4.74)−55.86†    (−4.20)−19.16*  (−1.74)−5.76
  (−0.43)
0.23†    (4.30)0.55† 
  (7.64)
5.135.81
National71.22†    (44.53)−11.65† 
  (−6.36)
−2.44
  (−1.17)
4.33  (2.12)0.80†    (61.94)25.73†    (3.91)−19.0†    (−3.70)−8.22  (−2.24)1.66
  (0.38)
0.19†    (4.88)0.62† 
  (8.69)
  21.68†   24.17†  

Zhenzhou, regional, and national

Zhenzhou81.00†    (36.24)−11.65†    (−4.77)−5.29  (−2.08)4.63*  (1.75)0.63† 
  (37.22)
59.93
  (1.40)
−43.24
  (−1.39)
−24.84
  (−1.11)
−17.26
  (−1.00)
0.11  (2.25)0.80†    (7.33)0.001†   0.99† 
  (2945)
10.01*17.2469*
Regional84.81†    (32.85)−17.75† 
  (−6.12)
−1.91
  (−0.57)
3.25
  (1.04)
0.73†    (52.34)101.93  (2.57)−78.53  (−2.48)−41.77*  (−1.67)−27.67
  (−1.13)
0.14†    (2.77)0.68†    (6.03)1.223.34
National75.82† 
  (40.75)
−10.62†    (−5.14)−3.36
  (−1.59)
7.16†    (3.00)0.80†    (59.37)33.88†    (3.06)−26.83†    (−2.79)−16.93  (−2.16)−0.62
  (−0.09)
0.22† 
  (7.25)
0.58†    (8.15)5.956.72

(b) Eastern China

API AR ARCH (α)GARCH (β) (10)

Hangzhou, regional, and national

Hangzhou84.28† 
  (43.94)
−16.09†  (−7.02)−4.34* (−1.65)1.83
(0.64)
0.59†  (37.87)252.22†  (3.83)−142.58†  (−3.43)−11.29
(−0.33)
100.51
(1.46)
0.16†  (3.03)0.42†  (3.26)0.04* (1.92)0.86†  (6.20)1.041.98
Regional52.56†  (36.86) −9.29†  (−5.38)−5.62†  (−3.15)−1.46
(−0.74)
0.66†  (43.17)20.15 (2.47)−13.36 (−2.44)−7.04
(−1.58)
1.70
(0.37)
0.13†  (3.81)0.80†  (14.08)  5.057.05
National57.05†  (39.30)−10.00†  (−5.83)−4.64 (−2.56)0.35
(0.17)
0.70†  (48.77)16.51†  (2.66) −11.39†  (−2.60)−5.43* (−1.64)1.91
(0.56)
0.13†  (3.80)0.79†  (14.13)  19.26† 29.89† 

Jinan, regional, and national

Jinan94.30†  (26.63)−18.94†  (−5.15)−13.88†  (−3.45)6.018
(1.14)
0.65†  (31.47)441.31†  (4.97)−327.54†  (−4.45)−211.02†  (−3.22)4.36
(0.05)
0.40†  (5.47)0.25 (2.47)0.05†  (3.55)0.74†  (7.56)1.533.25
Regional61.49†  (34.08)−11.27†  (−5.49)−6.51†  (−3.34)3.90* (1.93)0.67†  (41.06)89.43 (2.54)−74.90 (−2.28)−68.73 (−2.17)−55.04* (−1.83)0.18†  (4.14)0.60†  (7.67)  8.838.88
National77.89†  (37.26)−10.10†  (−4.54)−5.00 (−2.22)6.59†  (2.94)0.74†  (51.95)66.97†  (2.70)−53.39 (−2.41)−31.58* (−1.72)−19.89
(−1.13)
0.29†  (6.03)0.53†  (6.06)  5.196.41

Nanjing, regional, and national

Nanjing84.59†  (35.33)−12.94†  (−4.44)−4.87* (−1.63)−2.49
(−0.80)
0.62†  (36.80)86.66* (1.66)−56.62* (−1.87) −21.73
(−1.11)
−15.35
(−0.94)
0.11 (2.29)0.80†  (7.90)0.03†  (3.77)0.93†  (32.25)9.25*24.68† 
Regional65.33†  (31.32)−10.08†  (−4.24)−4.55* (−1.85)2.81
(0.94)
0.67†  (42.81)101.86†  (3.59)−65.35†  (−3.38)−38.88 (−2.39)2.39
(0.16)
0.27†  (3.24)0.44†  (3.45)  2.098.39
National73.12†  (41.56)−13.82†  (−6.86)−5.00 (−2.22)2.45
(1.02)
0.72†  (51.96)26.34†  (3.06)−20.10†  (−3.07)−8.54* (−1.87)−0.09
(−0.02)
0.11†  (4.38)0.80†  (16.07)  9.65*10.55

Nantong, regional, and national

Nantong68.19†  (14.36)−10.52 (−2.18)−6.40
(−1.30)
6.38
(1.02)
0.66†  (34.22)280.73†  (3.17)−202.64†  (−2.77)−159.47 (−2.26)−69.24
(−0.96)
0.34†  (3.24) 0.43†  (2.89)0.04†  (5.33)0.91†  (41.58)2.943.54
Regional49.22†  (37.62)−8.15†  (−5.11)−4.11 (−2.43)−1.50
(−0.79)
0.63†  (38.48)16.03†  (2.62)−9.51
(−2.36)
−3.32
(−0.99)
6.10
(1.17)
0.11†  (3.77)0.83†  (18.27)  7.810.84
National52.24†  (40.25)−8.73†  (−5.55)−3.89
(−2.32)
−0.56
(−0.30)
0.65†  (41.65)15.02†  (2.64)−9.09 (−2.43)−3.02
(−1.01)
5.42
(1.22)
0.11†  (3.70)0.82†  (16.74)  17.74† 27.74† 

Qingdao, regional, and national

Qingdao80.72†  (30.88)−19.02†  (−6.53)−11.33†  (−4.06)6.48
(2.25)
0.55†  (27.15)512.10 (2.22)−445.14 (−2.04)−422.50 (−1.97)−373.96* 
(−1.82)
0.17†  (3.24)0.47†  (3.63)0.05†  (4.13)0.83†  (13.74)2.422.58
Regional65.33†  (41.43)−11.50†  (−6.77)−7.78†  (−4.47)1.29
(0.69)
0.66  (41.60)65.79
(3.60)
−50.91
(−3.02)
−40.75
(−2.44)
−26.38
(−1.47)
0.19
(5.91)
0.60†  (6.36)  1.532.29
National70.23†  (36.82)−10.27†  (−5.29)−5.43†  (−2.75)5.43†  (2.61)0.72†  (46.27)40.47†  (3.75)−31.59†  (−3.77)−23.64†  (−3.33)−13.54* (−1.71)0.25†  (7.36) 0.60†  (6.31)  6.238.1

Shanghai, regional, and national

Shanghai63.75†  (11.52)−4.78
(−0.88)
−1.40
(−0.25)
10.33
(1.48)
0.58†  (23.54)611.84†  (4.24)−474.37†  (−3.36)−382.55†  (−2.67)−200.07
(−1.50)
0.43†  (3.45)0.17 (2.14)0.02†  (3.86)0.96†  (59.35)2.973.04
Regional73.45†  (36.31)−13.11†  (−5.46)−7.24†  (−2.85)−0.100
(−0.03)
0.65†  (43.49)49.66 (2.11)−34.73 (−2.19)−19.47* (−1.66)−0.33
(−0.03)
0.12†  (3.66)0.80†  (11.40)  12.6115.55
National73.46†  (36.57)−12.99†  (−5.52)−6.54†  (−2.60)0.79
(0.28)
0.66†  (45.32)43.98 (2.06)−31.01†  (−2.13)−16.77
(−1.60)
0.15
(0.02)
0.13†  (3.46)0.79†  (10.58)  19.17† 23.57† 

Suzhou, regional, and national

Suzhou77.68†  (40.11)−12.25†  (−5.04)−6.02 (−2.30)−3.67
(−1.27)
0.58†  (34.60)53.20†  (2.60)−30.28 (−2.43)−10.57
(−1.01)
16.75
(1.00)
0.11†  (3.58)0.82†  (16.89)0.02 (2.01)0.89†  (12.60)2.656.38
Regional45.26†  (23.51)−8.72†  (−4.14)−5.66 (−2.53)1.22
(0.46)
0.70†  (42.74)26.20
(1.24)
−19.78
(−1.29)
−13.00
(−1.10)
−4.10
(−0.59)
0.18
(1.79)
0.74†  (4.44)  1.792.2
National47.20†  (23.76)−7.65†  (−3.38)−3.39
(−1.48)
3.14
(1.09)
0.72†  (44.55)53.02 (2.34)−37.24 (−2.33)−24.45* (−1.85)−2.92
(−0.33)
0.31†  (2.74)0.46†  (2.60)  9.0164.59† 

Wenzhou, regional, and national

Wenzhou69.56†  (56.35)−13.53†  (−9.05)−11.44†  (−7.37)−4.42 (−2.53)0.61†  (40.12)120.45†  (4.89)−67.08†  (−4.24)−46.75†  (−3.27)7.38
(0.56)
0.13†  (4.33)0.34†  (3.07)0.03†  (3.95)0.89†  (21.94)1.367.69
Regional59.83†  (38.33)−10.31†  (−5.58)−3.87* (−1.91)1.70
(0.78)
0.66†  (42.18)80.09* (1.71)−51.41* (−1.72)−24.80
(−1.35)
10.60
(0.74)
0.19 (2.52)0.52 (2.30)  5.3515.41
National64.36†  (41.67)−10.83†  (−5.98)−3.94* (−1.94)3.18
(1.56)
0.77†  (55.84)24.59
(1.34)
−16.99
(−1.35)
−8.22
(−1.13)
5.36
(1.32)
0.12 (2.31)0.67†  (3.45)  1.044.72

Yantai, regional, and national

Yantai65.04†  (32.78)−10.58†  (−5.04)−6.79†  (−3.10)1.20
(0.52)
0.58†  (24.85)54.92†  (2.32)−41.20* (−1.92)−35.50* (−1.68)−35.29* (−1.66)0.18†  (3.19)0.76†  (17.59)0.02†  (3.50)0.91†  (27.55)0.831.52
Regional71.51†  (35.45)−15.09†  (−6.70)−9.02†  (−4.09)5.31 (2.30)0.62†  (36.64)229.06 (2.53)−199.79 (−2.34)−183.03 (−2.21)−150.44* (−1.90)0.17†  (4.21)0.50†  (4.69)  0.641.42
National71.31†  (26.12)−10.56†  (−3.72)−5.62 (−2.01) 8.06†  (2.98)0.69†  (36.18)108.86 (2.53)−91.94†  (−2.24)−84.06 (−2.12)−62.42
(−1.58)
0.37†  (3.96)0.47†  (5.42)  1.672.32

(c) Northern China

API AR ARCH (α)GARCH (β) (10)

Beijing, regional, and national

Beijing104.17 (19.62)−20.64
(−3.87)
−19.15
(−3.56)
−15.07
(−2.81)
0.51
(22.21)
2026.18
(19.97)
−1758.96
(28.37)
−1461.45
(16.29)
−1338.17
(12.02)
0.40
(4.41)
0.32
(2.72)
0.02
(1.53)
0.88
(9.12)
2.155.12
Regional82.30
(30.73)
−6.09 (−2.01)−2.59
(−0.85)
12.62
(3.78)
0.64
(33.77)
64.33
(1.01)
−36.96
(−0.84)
−0.85
(−0.03)
5.85
(0.25)
0.17* (1.65)0.77
(5.34)
  19.6321.2
National79.44
(35.24)
−6.51 (−2.51)−3.41
(−1.34)
11.42
(4.17)
0.67
(37.50)
76.88* (1.78)−51.53
(−1.57)
−11.91
(−0.53)
4.69
(0.20)
0.28
(2.74)
0.63
(4.54)
  2.489.85

Huhehaote, regional, and national

Huhehaote80.95
(13.80)
−27.22
(−4.33)
−19.58
(−2.95)
6.23
(0.96)
0.66
(32.39)
898.32
(4.03)
−864.09
(−4.13)
−838.20
(−4.15)
−737.24
(−4.24)
0.28
(3.53)
0.64
(6.73)
0.02
(2.70)
0.90
(20.13)
2.623.99
Regional93.68
(26.43)
−9.93
(−2.64)
−4.88
(−1.20)
8.51* (1.77)0.68
(40.40)
51.52
(0.54)
−41.16
(−0.51)
−14.73
(−0.25)
−3.80
(−0.09)
0.09
(1.41)
0.87
(7.30)
  67.5477.31
National84.42
(36.09)
−10.99
(−4.48)
−5.72 (−2.26)7.81
(2.91)
0.74
(50.63)
117.55 (2.04)−97.18* (−1.89)−59.62
(−1.49)
−26.66
(−0.80)
0.28
(4.85)
0.47
(3.47)
  4.3745.35

Shijiazhuang, regional, and national

Shijiazhuang96.16
(26.51)
−9.98
(−2.65)
−9.87 (−2.25)7.81* (1.73)0.70
(38.97)
623.90
(3.41)
−435.56
(−2.60)
−235.27
(−1.18)
−113.38
(−0.78)
0.40
(5.11)
0.29
(3.24)
0.03
(3.78)
0.77
(14.77)
0.77.41
Regional92.35
(28.08)
−11.59
(−3.28)
−5.65
(−1.52)
7.79* (1.89)0.67
(39.52)
78.43
(0.89)
−64.45
(−0.87)
−34.74
(−0.63)
−12.10
(−0.38)
0.11 (1.99)0.84
(7.93)
  179.27189.53
National86.39
(33.54)
−11.82
(−4.47)
−5.79 (−2.12)7.44 (2.53)0.71
(48.40)
173.03* (1.83)−141.96* (−1.71)−89.57
(−1.41)
−35.47
(−0.70)
0.28
(4.59)
0.46
(2.67)
  9.74*26.89

Taiyuan, regional, and national

Taiyuan89.844
(23.87)
−6.73* (−1.72)2.23
(0.52)
12.92
(2.71)
0.65
(34.44)
−46.76* (−1.67)−25.40
(−0.96)
−13.77
(−0.53)
0.10
(5.03)
0.88
(35.53)
0.01
(1.15)
0.70
(5.13)
10.93*21.65
Regional92.47
(21.38)
−14.56
(−3.29)
−11.21 (−2.43)6.28
(1.17)
0.71
(40.61)
96.69
(0.68)
−84.85
(−0.68)
−60.19
(−0.57)
−48.95
(−0.54)
0.11
(1.53)
0.84
(6.23)
  76.4682.57
National84.62
(30.67)
−11.46
(−4.07)
−7.41 (−2.51)7.27
(2.50)
0.74
(45.13)
165.94 (2.53)−136.82 (−2.29)−87.56* (−1.67)−56.59
(−1.19)
0.33
(4.69)
0.40
(3.22)
  8.9588.09

Tianjin, regional, and national

Tianjin81.29
(34.31)
−6.20 (−2.14)−2.67
(−0.90)
11.63
(3.70)
0.57
(28.01)
63.60* (1.79)−24.23
(−0.90)
12.06
(0.56)
9.22
(0.43)
0.16 (2.53)0.79
(10.37)
0.10
(6.36)
0.37
(3.42)
3.044.33
Regional102.78
(21.72)
−19.49
(−4.07)
−16.91
(−3.39)
−8.40* (−1.71)0.54
(24.46)
1831.75
(20.78)
−1584.64
(27.10)
−1259.84
(−20.64)
−1170.60
(−15.75)
0.41
(5.11)
0.20* (1.77)  3.139.96
National93.47
(25.52)
−16.94
(−4.56)
−13.50
(−3.46)
−2.74
(−0.71)
0.57
(27.47)
820.45
(9.42)
−710.87
(−8.93)
−566.76
(−7.32)
−510.70
(−7.25)
0.42
(5.16)
0.23 (2.12)  4.545.02

(d) Northeast

API AR ARCH (α)GARCH (β) (10)

Changchun, regional, and national

Changchun76.97†  (45.63)−17.53†  (−9.38)−9.38†  (−4.48)11.21†  (5.12)0.49†  (23.20) 61.17
(1.10)
−51.96
(−1.06)
−34.32
(−0.78)
−22.65
(−0.62)
0.05†  (2.63)0.88* (16.81)0.04†  (6.94)0.90†  (57.24)14.3316.04
Regional84.80†  (23.00)−14.69†  (−3.88)−8.38 (−2.15)10.68†  (2.74)0.64†  (36.89)93.05* (1.68)−84.49
(−1.64)
−69.25
(−1.47)
−36.79
(−0.94)
0.17†  (3.93)0.76†  (10.86)  3.665.59
National81.04†  (32.15)−12.63†  (−4.78)−6.95 (−2.56)9.52†  (3.08)0.72†  (46.24)43.96* (1.84)−40.10* (−1.80)−31.02
(−1.55)
−14.92
(−0.86)
0.16†  (4.18)0.78†  (12.91)  25.75† 30.68† 

Dalian, regional, and national

Dalian70.41†  (14.47)−15.04†  (−2.95)−10.05 (−2.10)1.93
(0.35)
0.54†  (13.23)555.30 (2.14)−495.80 (−2.00)−496.67 (−2.00)−430.21* (−1.73)0.35 (2.02)0.50†  (6.30)0.02†  (3.86)0.96†  (72.85)0.991.53
Regional88.39†  (35.73)−15.21†  (−5.89)−10.57†  (−3.95)9.06†  (3.08)0.60†  (34.50)74.50 (2.41)−60.09 (−2.18)−44.22* (−1.75)−24.32
(−1.09)
0.14†  (4.06)0.78†  (17.69)  3.195.33
National74.27†  (47.99)−11.09†  (−6.29)−6.50†  (−3.69)6.08†  (3.19)0.71†  (45.84)30.93 (2.13)−22.59 (−2.15)−15.26 (−2.13)−7.06
(−1.28)
0.23†  (4.68)0.66†  (6.26)  4.859.1

Haerbin, regional, and national

Haerbin79.00†  (15.31)−13.51 (−2.46)−4.56
(−0.82)
16.90†  (3.25)0.61†  (24.86)199.95
(1.44)
−193.80
(−1.44)
−180.38
(−1.43)
−95.15
(−0.95)
0.17†  (3.59)0.79†  (13.40)0.02†  (5.60)0.92†  (65.94)1.653.74
Regional80.11†  (47.21)−17.34†  (−9.22)−10.33†  (−5.02)10.43†  (4.80)0.54†  (27.96)48.24
(1.51)
−41.36
(−1.45)
−27.12
(−1.04)
−19.19
(−0.84)
0.06†  (2.62)0.87†  (20.60)  25.43† 26.9† 
National78.41†  (46.13)−15.35†  (−8.26)−9.00†  (−4.92)9.75†  (4.75)0.65†  (36.64)26.96
(1.53)
−23.74
(−1.48)
−15.36
(−1.07)
−10.02
(−0.79)
0.09†  (2.67)0.85†  (17.57)  37.43† 40.29† 

Shenyang, regional, and national

Shenyang89.73†  (30.29)−10.57†  (−3.54)−7.69 (−2.54)10.05†  (3.04)0.56†  (29.14)86.81 (2.13)−68.75* (−1.86)−49.39
(−1.42)
−35.91
(−1.14)
0.15†  (3.73) 0.81†  (20.59)0.03†  (4.06)0.92†  (36.20)1.823.63
Regional76.66†  (44.45)−17.68†  (−9.30)−10.91†  (−5.45)7.28†  (3.57)0.57†  (27.35)53.10
(1.50)
−48.40
(−1.48)
−38.02
(−1.25)
−30.94
(−1.14)
0.09†  (2.88)0.85†  (17.21)4.066.59
National74.05†  (37.50)−11.97†  (−5.57)−7.12†  (−3.53)9.11†  (3.83)0.72†  (42.11)26.61
(0.75)
−23.83
(−0.76)
−17.74
(−0.69)
−11.27
(−0.65)
0.18
(1.24)
0.77†  (3.58)

(e) Northwest

API AR ARCH (α)GARCH (β) (10)

Lanzhou, regional, and national

Lanzhou117.69†  (10.74)−41.57†  (−3.66)−31.43†  (−2.73)8.62
(0.58)
0.65†  (22.14)582.16†  (3.90)−548.06†  (−3.74)−534.41†  (−3.62)−320.70
(−1.31)
0.22†  (4.10)0.79†  (25.28)0.02†  (7.30)0.95†  (162.9)1.222.64
Regional81.58†  (33.93)−16.39†  (−6.33)−11.51†  (−4.41)15.91†  (5.86)0.64†  (31.19)36.73
(1.43)
−33.75
(−1.43)
−28.01
(−1.24)
−9.09
(−0.55)
0.11* (1.82)0.86†  (12.74)  23.39† 25.27† 
National80.16†  (21.37)−11.69†  (−3.05)−5.23
(−1.46)
9.52†  (2.66)0.75†  (39.18)70.81
(0.99)
−61.50
(−0.94)
−62.76
(−0.96)
−41.94
(−0.75)
0.16†  (3.06)0.80†  (8.72)  0.530.8

Xian, regional, and national

Xian84.17†  (14.44)−5.20
(−0.90)
0.79
(0.14)
15.80 (2.57)0.64†  (29.90)185.60
(1.18)
−158.11
(−1.11)
−138.12
(−1.05)
−115.80
(−0.94)
0.23†  (3.43)0.69†  (5.71)0.02†  (6.60)0.97†  (191.6)2.3710.77
Regional100.38†  (18.09)−33.10†  (−5.80)−25.96†  (−4.52)11.96* (1.81)0.67†  (32.61)169.81†  (2.61)−162.12 (−2.56)−151.89 (−2.45)−89.60
(−1.50)
0.16†  (4.46)0.82†  (25.69)  6.6310.47
National77.93†  (31.43)−10.85†  (−4.17)−4.81* (−1.84)7.63 (2.44)0.83†  (68.17)14.52
(1.47)
−12.72
(−1.44)
−9.23
(−1.20)
−3.54
(−0.68)
0.12†  (3.54)0.82†  (12.74)  27.55† 34.17† 

Yinchuan, regional, and national

Yinchuan80.19†  (33.17)−22.54†  (−8.94)−17.07†  (−6.84)11.41†  (4.31)0.56†  (24.60) 67.07
(1.44)
−64.53
(−1.43)
−57.04
(−1.29)
−31.29
(−0.77)
0.06†  (2.97)0.91†  (31.57) 0.02†  (5.53)0.96†  (99.98)9.069.93
Regional107.87
(15.81)
−31.07†  (−4.39)−22.46†  (−3.16)13.76
(1.59)
0.69†  (27.01)249.72†  (2.67)−232.40†  (−2.60)−224.93 (−2.59)−115.87
(−1.43)
0.19†  (4.62)0.81†  (20.29)  1.172.71
National86.09†  (22.68)−15.53†  (−4.08)−10.03†  (−2.63)9.43 (2.14)0.80†  (56.83)58.08* (1.83)−53.48* (−1.77)−47.53* (−1.68)−26.11
(−1.15)
0.16†  (5.48)0.78†  (14.84)  3.45.51

Wulumuqi, regional, and national

Wulumuqi72.12†  (10.04)−18.49†  (−2.79)−3.91
(−0.53)
78.21†  (6.58)0.69†  (31.18)377.67
(1.19)
−356.11
(−1.17)
−306.93
(−1.13)
798.85
(1.07)
0.35†  (3.61)0.64†  (4.97)0.01†  (3.86)0.96†  (76.15)1.22.08
Regional97.52†  (20.62)−26.81†  (−5.57)−21.36†  (−4.36)10.93 (1.96)0.70†  (37.94)114.08 (2.18)−108.68 (−2.14)−100.45 (−2.03)−60.11
(−1.35)
0.16†  (4.74)0.82†  (24.23)  5.618.88
National74.48†  (31.22)−10.91†  (−4.40)−5.90 (−2.45)6.95 (2.48)0.83†  (60.64)23.98
(1.54)
−21.50
(−1.50)
−17.37
(−1.38)
−9.29
(−0.99)
0.15†  (3.86)0.74†  (8.11)  11.2614.45

(f) Qinghai-Tibet

API AR ARCH (α)GARCH (β) (10)

Lasa, regional, and national

Lasa57.46†  (36.51)−19.33†  (−9.88)−10.98†  (−5.77) 0.64
(0.28)
0.62†  (37.45)17.00 (2.14)−10.86* (−1.87)−7.40
(−1.48)
22.71 (2.45)0.08†  (3.50)0.86†  (21.76)0.01†  (3.62)0.97†  (96.27)23.74† 25.21† 
Regional88.46†  (12.35)−19.68†  (−3.21)−11.83* (−1.70)1.54 (0.22)0.60†  (18.41)715.67 (2.57)−676.97†  (−2.60)−671.37
(−2.67)
−538.08 (−2.45)0.51
(1.32)
0.58†  (2.94)  1.031.34
National73.37†  (32.40)−9.32†  (−3.87)−3.94* (−1.69)8.97†  (3.04)0.85†  (60.87)13.92
(1.46)
−11.98
(−1.40)
−9.11
(−1.23)
−0.31
(−0.08)
0.12†  (3.70)0.79†  (9.98)  14.3818.1

Xining, regional, and national

Xining88.46†  (12.35)−19.68†  (−3.22)−11.83* (−1.70)1.54
(0.22)
0.60†  (18.41)715.67 (2.57)−676.97†  (−2.60)−671.37†  (−2.67)−538.08 (−2.45)0.51
(1.32)
0.58†  (2.94)0.02†  (5.62)0.96†  (154.9)0.841.56
Regional57.46†  (36.51)−19.33†  (−9.88)−10.98†  (−5.77)0.64
(0.28)
0.62†  (37.45)17.00 (2.14)−10.86* (−1.87)−7.40
(−1.48)
22.71 (2.45)0.08†  (3.50)0.86†  (21.76)  23.49† 24.88† 
National95.83†  (16.96)−26.73†  (−4.65)−18.82†  (−3.24)10.41
(1.50)
0.72†  (33.53)150.38 (2.55)−143.90 (−2.49)−138.06 (−2.44)−100.98* (−1.88)0.21†  (4.56)0.80†  (23.41)  2.864.75

(g) Southern China

API AR ARCH (α)GARCH (β) (10)

Guangzhou, regional, and national

Guangzhou63.87†  (32.45)−6.48†  (−2.63)1.52
(0.55)
8.02†  (2.89)0.69†  (45.66)221.58 (2.25)−131.67 (−2.23)−72.52* (−1.90)69.64* (1.76)0.21†  (3.67)0.24
(0.88)
0.05†  (4.29)0.57†  (3.85)8.823.22† 
Regional46.88†  (43.80)−10.48†  (−7.92)5.58†  (3.66)10.15†  (6.65)0.70†  (50.57)42.45†  (2.61)−14.80 (−2.14)−3.69
(−0.80)
13.99 (2.06)0.14†  (4.30)0.44 (2.44)  3.2310.26
National49.64†  (45.92)−10.31†  (−7.71)4.62†  (3.03)9.39†  (6.15)0.73†  (54.91)30.85 (2.53)−11.55 (−2.09)−3.51
(−1.03)
10.89 (2.15)0.14†  (3.95)0.49†  (2.92)  3.886.07

Shenzhen, regional, and national

Shenzhen51.54†  (38.89)−10.18†  (−5.87) 8.41†  (4.53)10.77†  (5.31)0.66†  (45.27)20.55
(0.99)
−4.70
(−0.62)
−0.63* (−0.19)13.20
(1.38)
0.06* (1.79)0.83†  (6.25)0.01†  (4.86)0.99†  (350.2)15.56† 18.27*
Regional48.53†  (41.70)−10.65†  (−7.67)2.42
(1.54)
9.66†  (5.99)0.71†  (53.73)61.26†  (4.64)−25.42†  (−3.37)−10.85* (−1.63)6.91
(1.02)
0.19†  (6.17)0.24* (1.94)  6.3723.90† 
National49.99†  (43.19)−10.66†  (−7.75)2.03
(1.31)
9.17†  (5.74)0.73†  (55.81)51.39†  (4.58)−22.36†  (−3.46)−10.27* (−1.83)6.12
(1.05)
0.19†  (6.01)0.28 (2.24)  6.5531.65† 

Zhuhai, regional, and national

Zhuhai43.34†  (32.95)−12.58†  (−7.80)2.33
(1.27)
10.36†  (5.93)0.70†  (48.40)3.78
(1.01)
−0.67
(−0.40)
−0.02
(−0.02)
1.26
(1.13)
0.06 (2.39)0.91†  (18.07)0.01†  (4.72)0.99†  (454.5)27.76† 32.70† 
Regional54.27†  (40.20)−8.81†  (−5.31)6.72†  (3.65)10.03†  (5.17)0.70†  (52.46)95.13 (2.53)−36.07 (−2.36)−19.57* (−1.73)38.50 (2.15)0.13†  (4.68)0.33
(1.48)
  3.2319.45
National55.12†  (41.17)−8.92†  (−5.43)6.23†  (3.42)9.72†  (5.11)0.71†  (54.64)80.44 (2.37)−31.54 (−2.23)−17.74* (−1.74)32.49 (2.10)0.12†  (4.41)0.37* (1.62)  7.2610.18

Zhanjiang, regional, and national

Zhanjiang46.59†  (75.39)−0.66
(0.80)
0.66
(0.83)
1.27* (1.67)0.82†  (71.11)0.05
(1.14)
0.07
(1.05)
−0.02
(0.32)
0.07
(1.04)
0.04†  (6.14)0.95†  (127.6)0.06†  (4.16)0.69†  (5.70)12.0818.65
Regional39.49†  (44.27)−7.28†  (−6.59)5.11†  (3.71)8.71†  (7.24)0.76†  (51.02)4.07
(1.28)
−1.72
(−1.04)
0.25
(0.38)
1.16
(1.40)
0.09†  (2.69)0.82†  (8.76)  8.120.89
National46.43†  (43.69)−6.23†  (−4.45)4.84†  (3.29)7.53†  (5.55)0.83†  (61.97)12.16†  (3.46)−6.61†  (−2.95)−0.33
(−0.27)
3.20 (1.99)0.15†  (4.85)0.54†  (5.11)  26.8794.48† 

Haikou, regional, and national

Haikou34.09†  (38.43)−7.02†  (−5.93)5.81†  (3.85)8.10†  (6.71)0.73†  (45.76)2.20
(0.97)
−0.33
(0.35)
1.04
(1.17)
1.24
(1.40)
0.07 (2.38)0.89†  (13.55)0.01†  (5.54)0.98†  (189.8)2.616.26
Regional47.98†  (70.93)−2.29†  (−2.67)1.98 (2.25)3.80†  (4.26)0.79†  (67.57) 0.03
(0.49)
0.14 (2.14)0.09
(1.41)
0.29†  (2.97)0.03†  (5.69)0.96†  (142.8)  13.26*15.63
National51.68†  (54.92)−2.49 (−2.02)2.14* (1.80)4.84†  (4.24)0.85†  (73.05)−0.01
(−0.19)
0.12 (2.11)0.20†  (3.87)0.43†  (4.66)0.03†  (4.60)0.96†  (124.2)  39.99† 40.52† 

(h) Southeast

API AR ARCH (α)GARCH (β) (10)

Fuzhou, regional, and national

Fuzhou65.16†  (43.51)−13.04†  (−7.14)−11.25†  (−6.18)−3.81* (−1.86)0.58†  (36.60)78.15
(1.38)
−45.11
(−1.37)
−38.56
(−1.29)
13.39
(1.40)
0.09 (2.04)0.70†  (3.83)0.03†  (7.89)0.95†  (146.7)17.6722.24
Regional57.29†  (37.40)−15.79†  (−7.67)−1.93
(−1.05)
3.46* (1.78)0.66†  (46.08)24.65†  (3.18)−13.49†  (−3.11)−12.14†  (−2.83)−1.78
(−0.58)
0.03* (1.86)0.84†  (19.40)   
National62.54†  (37.39)−10.29†  (−5.02)−2.32
(−1.20)
4.34 (2.20)0.80†  (58.50)8.14
(0.84)
−5.72
(−0.84)
−3.19
(−0.69)
1.79
(1.55)
0.05
(1.15)
0.85†  (5.59)    

Shantou, regional, and national

Shantou50.82†  (34.11)−12.34†  (−6.29)4.46 (2.42)8.93†  (4.70)0.70†  (48.90)24.24†  (2.83)−11.62 (−2.40)−11.74 (−2.44)−3.85
(−1.07)
0.09†  (4.33)0.78†  (13.97)0.02†  (6.38)0.96†  (151.9)21.14† 24.22† 
Regional60.34†  (38.90)−16.38†  (−8.30)−5.07†  (−2.75)0.90
(0.45)
0.64†  (43.43)26.25†  (3.31)−15.74†  (−3.14)−11.98†  (−2.66)0.26
(0.08)
0.02
(1.21)
0.88†  (22.26)  10.9913.08
National59.00†  (35.81)−9.24†  (−3.83)−0.24
(−0.13)
6.19†  (3.10)0.79†  (60.31)3.95
(0.51)
−2.47
(−0.48)
−1.27
(−0.31)
2.21†  (3.08)0.02
(0.67)
0.93†  (8.49)  27.01† 35.09† 

Xiamen, regional, and national

Xiamen59.30†  (38.55)−17.24†  (−8.37)−3.68 (−1.98)1.86
(0.94)
0.63†  (42.92)32.43†  (3.02)−17.00†  (−3.14)−15.24†  (−2.82)−3.10
(−0.83)
0.03* (1.64)0.86†  (16.32)0.02†  (6.64)0.96†  (125.0)14.6515.4
Regional56.74†  (39.19)−12.66†  (−7.28)−2.45
(−1.42)
3.48* (1.82)0.67†  (46.99)31.21†  (2.72)−22.11†  (−2.66)−16.77 (−2.46)2.80
(0.71)
0.08†  (2.93)0.76†  (10.10)  15.9520.42
National58.83†  (35.93)−8.93†  (−4.50)−0.45
(−0.24)
5.60†  (2.89)0.79†  (58.44)14.82* (1.82)−10.77* (−1.77)−7.17* (−1.65)3.70* (1.73)0.09†  (2.60)0.74†  (6.34)  14.2817.92

(i) Southwest

API AR ARCH (α)GARCH (β) (10)

Chengdu, regional, and national

Chengdu86.59†  (23.71)−14.89†  (−3.87)−10.27 (−2.57)4.53
(1.07)
0.62†  (31.66)112.81
(1.27)
−78.13
(−1.06)
−68.71
(−0.97)
−43.38
(−0.67)
0.19†  (3.67)0.70†  (6.22)0.03†  (5.29)0.90†  (32.86)0.350.61
Regional90.71†  (40.09)−12.34†  (−4.66)−5.39* (−1.95)5.24* (1.83)0.73†  (56.18)47.58 (2.07)−27.29 (−2.16)−17.51* (−1.64)−7.11
(−0.92)
0.08 (2.28)0.79†  (8.80)    
National76.43†  (40.92)−9.45†  (−4.53)−3.64* (−1.65)6.21 (2.52)0.81†  (67.32)13.87 (2.21)−9.14 (−2.18)−4.66
(−1.49)
0.54
(0.23)
0.11†  (3.21)0.79†  (10.92)    

Chongqing, regional, and national

Chongqing87.31†  (31.93)−12.52†  (−4.05)−6.41* (−1.93)6.73* (1.94)0.71†  (52.51)72.30 (2.47)−44.52 (−2.40)−28.50* (−1.77)−8.19
(−0.61)
0.10†  (3.04)0.79†  (11.39)0.03†  (4.42)0.91†  (31.38)3.874.23
Regional77.47†  (32.55)−11.85†  (−4.63)−5.66 (−2.10)5.04* (1.82)0.68†  (48.72)50.64* (1.89)−31.83
(−1.59)
−25.68
(−1.36)
−11.87
(−0.70)
0.12†  (3.24)0.73†  (7.50)  7.47.57
National75.48†  (40.47)−10.34†  (−5.14)−2.62
(−1.24)
8.20†  (3.53)0.80†  (62.93)50.84 (2.09)−38.88* (−1.89)−28.93* (−1.63)−9.92
(−0.75)
0.13†  (3.66)0.55†  (4.11)  33.13† 40.87† 

Guiyang, regional, and national

Guiyang68.18†  (40.66)−8.83†  (−4.34)−0.47
(−0.22)
5.65 (2.44)0.62†  (41.56)9.71
(1.22)
−4.51
(−1.31)
1.27
(0.51)
0.99
(0.51)
0.04 (2.05)0.93†  (24.63)0.02†  (5.47)0.95†  (83.27)76.21† 80.31† 
Regional75.56†  (41.25)−10.49†  (−4.86)−3.61* (−1.62)5.39 (2.41)0.76†  (59.16)29.96 (2.58)−17.03 (−2.48)−13.00 (−2.06)−2.45
(−0.49)
0.08†  (2.75)0.77†  (9.52)  2.834.7
National70.32†  (40.82)−8.31†  (−4.26)−2.08
(−1.04)
5.67†  (2.68)0.84†  (71.19)10.98 (2.47)−7.71 (−2.33)−4.75* (−1.77)0.97
(0.48)
0.10†  (3.44)0.77†  (11.32)  29.04† 30.74† 

Kunming, regional, and national

Kunming64.92†  (65.84)−8.37†  (−6.43)−2.31* (−1.66)2.66* (1.89)0.58†  (34.43)55.43 (2.26)−6.54
(−1.00)
10.41
(1.42)
12.28
(1.47)
0.15†  (3.40)0.49 (2.56)0.02†  (4.49)0.93†  (53.81)5.5712.19
Regional73.45†  (39.39)−10.19†  (−4.71)−1.88
(−0.84)
6.49†  (2.72)0.75†  (61.52)15.96
(0.94)
−9.37
(−1.01)
−5.37
(−0.72)
−1.07
(−0.36)
0.03
(1.07)
0.89†  (8.33)  29.57† 33.77† 
National69.07†  (37.55)−8.49†  (−3.87)−2.09
(−1.00)
6.53†  (2.67)0.84†  (67.95)2.98
(0.29)
−2.18
(−0.29)
−0.53
(−0.10)
1.13
(1.26)
0.04
(0.52)
0.92†  (5.03)  83.07† 85.72† 

Nanning, regional, and national

Nanning52.73†  (32.11)−8.43†  (−3.90)8.77†  (3.75)10.03†  (4.28)0.72†  (54.04)79.25†  (2.85)−32.20†  (−2.67)3.39
(0.43)
40.26 (2.29)0.08†  (3.23)0.48†  (2.80)0.01 (2.34)0.93†  (22.54)7.028.16
Regional73.66†  (48.49)−9.97†  (−5.54)−3.57* (−1.93)4.50 (2.22)0.70†  (54.01)4.93
(1.38)
−3.09* (−1.66)−0.25
(−0.16)
−0.41
(0.46)
0.02 (1.99)0.95†  (34.76)  27.6† 30.99† 
National55.36†  (42.36)−5.06†  (−3.08)0.87
(0.57)
5.55†  (3.46)0.87†  (77.70)0.47
(0.62)
−0.27
(0.51)
0.31
(0.91)
0.82†  (4.53) 0.03
(1.43)
0.95†  (25.23)   17.84† 20.62

Notes: This table reports the estimation results of DCC-GARCH models for the city APIs against regional and national APIs. Absolute -ratios are indicated in parentheses. The and Q(10) are, respectively, the Ljung-Box autocorrelations test (1978) of five and lags in the standardized squared residuals from the regression.  , ,* denote statistical significance at 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively.