Research Article

Hybrid Support Vector Regression and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Models Improved by Particle Swarm Optimization for Property Crime Rates Forecasting with Economic Indicators

Table 2

Comparison of actual value and forecast value of property crime rates.

YearActual value of property crime ratesForecast value of property crime rates
Individual modelsHybrid models
ARIMAPSOARIMAPSOSVRPSOSVR ARIMAPSOSVR PSOARIMA

20053431.53450.6743446.6733432.7883415.5033427.515
20063334.53383.5233378.4343346.5333345.653346.024
20073263.53277.7283279.7463255.6263250.1343251.728
20083211.53230.0023225.1113188.7473200.3343193.765
20093036.13187.3353189.0713030.2493037.2593036.579