Improved Estimation of the Initial Number of Susceptible Individuals in the General Stochastic Epidemic Model Using Penalized Likelihood

Table 3

Estimates of the infection rate for initial susceptible individuals based on the Abakaliki smallpox data.

Parameter	Estimate	Standard error	Nominal 95% confidence interval
	0.3133	0.0773	(0.1618, 0.4649)
	33.88	4.13	(25.79, 41.98)