Simulated Annealing Based Hybrid Forecast for Improving Daily Municipal Solid Waste Generation Prediction

Table 1

Comparison of three models and SA based hybrid forecast. Forecast efficiency degrading means the average degradation of the neighboring week in MPAE.

	Chaotic model	NARX	PLS-SVM	SA based hybrid model
Predictability (MAPE, 1st week average)	11.21%	12.93%	12.94%	9.38%
Predictability (MAPE, 2nd week average)	12.30%	14.69%	15.08%	10.65%
Predictability (MAPE, 3rd week average)	13.20%	16.69%	15.84%	11.69%
Predictability (MAPE, 4th week average)	14.85%	15.70%	17.34%	12.12%
Predictability (MAPE, 5th week average)	13.54%	18.46%	18.38%	12.52%
Forecast efficiency degrading (MAPE)	1.24%	1.88%	1.36%	0.79%