Abstract

In this research work, an approach to determine the critical path of activity network with normalized heptagonal fuzzy data is proposed. In the proposed model, we attempt to develop a method for solving litigation problems by experts when they share the same information but differ in their opinions. The concepts for a critical path method (CPM) optimization with two kinds of data are as follows: those are to be optimistic and those considered being pessimistic. A numerical example is given for the illustration of the proposed approach and gain more insights. Based on the findings of the proposed work, we observe that the floating times with optimistic data are always smaller than or equal to the corresponding floating times for the pessimistic data.

1. Introduction

The critical path method (CPM) is one of the most important concepts in network analysis. It is used as method for solving the complications of a project by preparing the networks and to determine the earliest date an activity can start and the earliest date can be finished. Also, it is an algorithm for scheduling a set of project activities. In addition, it is commonly used in conjunction with the program evaluation and review technique (PERT). A technique for project planning that was developed known as critical path method (CPM) was developed in 1950 by DuPont and was first used in missile-defense construction projects. When applying CPM, there are several steps that can be summarized as follows:(i)Define the required tasks and put them down in a sequenced list(ii)Create a flowchart or other diagram showing each task in relation to the others(iii)Identify the critical and noncritical relationships among tasks(iv)Locate or devise alternatives for the most critical paths

CPM was emerged to support and serve as an alternative to Gantt chart. Studies and researches enumerate the possible causes of the breach to include inadequate knowledge and experience of the technique and lack of adoption of reluctance to adopt a new technological innovation as well as cost of operations [1]. Aliyu [2] clarified the effectiveness of the CPM in planning, scheduling, organizing, coordinating, managing, and controlling of project time and cost, where this study concludes that the CPM is not difficult to apply, and when applied, it improves interdepartmental communications, gives clear definition of responsibilities, and minimizes the occurrence of crisis management. Agyei [3] defined the trade-off by crashing the activities using linear programming technique and concluded with an acceptable cost to complete the project construction. Rautela et al. [4] concluded that the CPM can be used by every department as a tool for meeting the commitment of the delivery to other related departments and thereby reducing the problem of internal delays which causes the delay in the delivery of the final product of the company where in this case the company being a shoe production plant. Chu et al. [5] gave a new definition on the critical path in stochastic network and proposed a modified label-correcting tracing algorithm to solve it. Also, they compared the results with the Monte Carlo simulation, where the approach proposed can accurately determine the critical path in stochastic networks.

In literature, first of all, Zadeh [6] proposed the philosophy of fuzzy sets. Decision-making in a fuzzy environment has an improvement and a great help in the management decision problems [7]. Zimmermann [8] introduced fuzzy programming and linear programming with multiple objective functions. Later, several researchers worked in fuzzy set theory. Dubois and Prade [9] studied the theory and applications of fuzzy sets and systems. Kaufmann and Gupta [10] studied several fuzzy mathematical models with their applications to engineering and management sciences. Chanas and Zielinski [11] introduced the relations between the notion of fuzzy criticality and the notion of interval criticality. Also, they investigated two methods of calculations of the path degree of criticality. Arikan and Gungor [12] studied the multiple objective problem for project networks. They implemented the fuzzy goal programming to it as application point of view. Liang and Han [13] also studied the fuzzy critical path for project network. Zielinkski [14] presented their study by computing the latest starting times and floats of activities. They considered a network with imprecise durations, in their model formulation.

Chen [15] studied the project network and further investigated the critical paths under the assumption of fuzzy activity times. Chen and Hsueh [16] proposed an approach to critical path problem in project network case. They considered the fuzzy model in their proposed problem. Ghazanfari et al. [17] derived a novel solution procedure for the time-cost trade-off model by implementing the fuzzy decision variables in their model. Shankar et al. [18] derived a solution method, which is based on analytical concept. They applied this method to determine the critical paths, where the critical paths were considered in a fuzzy project network by Liang [19]. Applying fuzzy goal programming to project management decisions with multiple goals in uncertain environments. [20] developed a solution procedure for the determination of total float time as well as the critical path. They considered the fuzzy uncertainty in their project network model. Ammar [21] studied the optimization of project time-cost trade-off problem by considering the assumption of discounted cash flows. Shahsavari Pour et al. [22] developed a novel methodology to solve the critical path model with the assumption of fuzzy processing time.

Elizabeth and Sujatha [23] studied the CPM. They considered the fuzzy concept for the project network in their proposed work. Khalaf [24] proposed a solution procedure for the fuzzy project scheduling problem under the assumption of a ranking function. Oladeinde and Itsisor [25] investigated the CPM. Later, they applied it as application of fuzzy theory to project scheduling model. Anusuya and Balasowandari [26] discussed various measures for determining the critical path in fuzzy environment. Yao and Lin [27] investigated a novel solution method to determine the critical paths. Their solution method is found on the concept of signed distance ranking of fuzzy numbers.

Over the few decades, several researchers used different types of fuzzy numbers to formulate the mathematical models, e.g., triangular fuzzy numbers [28], hexagonal fuzzy numbers [29], and piecewise quadratic fuzzy numbers [30]. In literature, some researchers used the heptagonal fuzzy numbers in the diverse fields of mathematical modelling, e.g., fuzzy assignment problem [31] and fuzzy queuing model [32]. Radhakrishnan and Saikeerthana [33] applied the interval concepts to solve the CPM, and they performed the evaluation review technique in project network to determine the critical path and the project duration of the network.

In this paper, a CPM for the optimization with the concept of normalized heptagonal fuzzy numbers is introduced, where the process is characterized by uncertain and subjective data. The concepts for a CPM optimization with two kinds of data are as follows: those which are considered to be pessimistic and those which are considered to be optimistic. In addition, a method for solving litigation problems by experts when they share the same information but different in their opinion is outlined.

The remainder of the paper is organized as follows: Section 2 introduces some preliminaries needed in this paper. In Section 3, basic notion and CPM optimization are introduced. In Section 4, an example is given for illustration. Section 5 presents the discussion of the results. Finally, some concluding remarks are reported in Section 6.

2. Preliminaries

This section introduces some of basic concepts and results related to fuzzy numbers, heptagonal fuzzy numbers, and their arithmetic operations and the associated ordinary number corresponding to the heptagonal fuzzy number.

Definition 1 (see [6]). A fuzzy set defined on the set of real numbers is said to be fuzzy numbers if its membership functionpossesses the following properties:(1) is an upper semicontinuous membership function(2) is convex fuzzy set, i.e., (3) is normal, i.e., for which (4) is the support of , and the closure is compact set

Definition 2 (see [31]). A fuzzy number is a heptagonal fuzzy number (H.F.N.), whereas and its membership function are defined by

A H.F.N. can be characterized by the so called interval of confidence at level as follows:

Definition 3 (see [31]). If and . Then, the -cut of is defined as follows:

Definition 4 (see [31]). Let and be two HFNs. Then,

Definition 5 (see [31]). Let andThen

Definition 6. The associated ordinary (crisp) number corresponding to the H.F.N.
is defined by

2.1. Notations

Major of the sheaf

Minor of the sheaf

Associated ordinary number

: Minkowski’s subtraction

3. Problem Formulation

Let us introduce some basic notion needed in the problem statement.

Let us consider a sheaf composed of H.F.N.s Define as a “major H.F.N., as a major H.F.N.” in the case of H.F.N. dominates all the other in the sheaf The criterion of dominance is one of the following three as follows:(i)The greatest associated ordinary number is presented by(ii)If criterion (i) does not separate the two H.F.N.s, those which have the best maximal presumption (the mode) will be chosen(iii)If criteria (i) and (ii) do not separate the two H.F.N.s, the divergence will be used as a third criterion

Mathematically, the earliest time can be calculated aswhere is the time of the activity .

Similarly, the latest time can be calculated as

The critical path is at the events for which the time is zero

On the contrary, we shall call H.F.N. a “minor H.F.N.” if the H.F.N. is dominated by all others in the sheaf using, respectively, the criteria (i), (ii), and (iii), respectively.

Theorem 7 (see [10]). By using the criterion in (i), if is the major of the sheaf , and is the major of the sheaf , then the major of the sheaf and

Proof. (see [10]).☐

Definition 8 (see [10]). Minkowski’s subtraction of two H.F.N.s. and is defined as

4. Numerical Example

Assume the implementation of a plant has 14 vertices and it needs 22 main operations each one represented by a direct link as in the following graph (Figure 1).

For each operation on graph, four experts were interviewed, and these experts expressed their valuations in the form of H.F.N.s. Using these data, we shall compute a pessimistic forecast with a H.F.N. major and an optimistic forecast with a H.F.N. minor. The computations for both will require the maximization of the total durations until the plant will be ready for production. Table 1 gives the H.F.N. data for each link and shows the minor () and major () with a ° as a sub- or superscript, respectively. The last column gives the maximization at each vertex. When the first criterion dealing with the associated ordinary number is not sufficient, then the second and if needed the third criteria are applied.

For each operation in Table 1, row 1 gives the H.F.N. of expert 1, row 2 that for expert 2, etc. The symbol represents the major and the minor H.F.N. The position of these ° has the same meaning. With these pessimistic H.F.N.s. in the next Table 2, we shall seek the optimal or critical path from start () to the end ().

4.1. Pessimistic Critical Path Computations

The majors from the starting point to the various succeeding nodes are given by

Now, we calculate the cost to arrive at the node as gives ; gives

Therefore, the pessimistic forecast is given by the major at

We continue the computation for subsequent nodes as follows:

For

For

.

For

For

.

For

For

For

Proceeding backward using the Minkowski’s subtraction in Definition 8 to find the critical path as follows:

Therefore, the critical path passes through

The critical path passes through .

The critical path passes through . Therefore, the critical path has the vertices , and the pessimistic data is .

The optimization process with the data given in Table 2 is as follows:

For

For

For

For

For

For

For

For

The critical path is , and the associated ordinary number is 48.5.

For the associated ordinary numbers, the floating times merger can be computed for the vertices as follows:

For

For

For

To compute the other floating times, one proceeds backward taking the smallest floating time as follows:

For

For

For

For

For

For

For

Other kinds of margins may be used as in classical CPM methods.

4.2. Optimistic Critical Path Computations

We shall now repeat the computations for the optimistic case. A table will be computed first which corresponds to the minor H.F.N.s. of Table 1. The minors, which are associated with ordinary numbers, are tabulated in Table 3.

For this purpose, we shall not present the computations using the H.F.N.s. as we did with the pessimistic data. So, we carry out these computations from what has been given already. Using the associated ordinary numbers for optimistic data from Table 3, the optimization process gives

For

For

For

For

For

For

For

For

Applying the progressing backward to look for the optimistic critical path as

The critical path passes through

and passing It also path through , and we have, therefore, the optimistic critical path with the associated ordinary number 36.125

It is observed that in this case the optimistic critical path is the same as the pessimistic one. This is an unusual case, and using other data different critical paths may be found.

Now, we will calculate the floating times for vertices, which are not on the critical path.

For

For

For

For

For

For

For

For

For

For

For

5. Discussion of the Results

It is noted that the floating times with optimistic data are always smaller than or equal to the corresponding floating times for the pessimistic data. This is the consequence of a contraction in the whole network. It is logical to consider that the margins decrease when the operative data decreases.

The process which is characterized by uncertain and subjective data can be summarized as follows:(i)Experts must be selected for each operation; the number selected being determined by the type of operation and the uncertainty encountered. There is no priori rule for their selection. Each expert, however, must give his/her subjective opinion in the form of H.F.N(ii)For each operation, a major H.F.N. and a minor H.F.N. are selected. Of course, if only one H.F.N. exists, it is own major and minor. For some operations, the H.F.N.s. are just ordinary numbers(iii)For each major H.F.N. and minor H.F.N., the associated ordinary number must be computed(iv)To determine the pessimistic critical path, the major H.F.N.s. and their associated ordinary numbers are employed. For optimistic critical path, minor H.F.N.s. and their associated ordinary numbers are employed(v)The floating times are then calculated using associated ordinary numbers for vertices which are not on the critical path(vi)Following these calculations, the experts reevaluate their H.F.N. estimates, and the process is repeated

In addition, in the illustrative example, four experts established the data, but in a nonacademic example, this number depends on many factors: available experts, kind of operation, cost of operation, and so on. However, it appears that the computations of the major H.F.N. and the minor H.F.N. are very useful in many realistic situations.

6. Conclusions

In this paper, method for solving litigation problems by experts when they share the same information but differ in their opinions has been introduced. An example with data has been established by four experts, but in a nonacademic example, this number depends on many factors: available experts, kind of operation, cost of operation, and so on. It has appeared the computations of the major and minor of H.F.N. are useful in many realistic situations.

The proposed model is also applicable to more complicated project networks in real world. For future research, the neutrosophic sets and interval type can be considered. In addition, the procedure can be modified depending on the nature of the analysis, and the process described is useful especially when the opinions of many experts are necessary as may be required in a large scale project.

Data Availability

The data used to support the findings of this research are available from the corresponding author upon request.

Disclosure

Hamiden Abd El-Wahed Khalifa present address is Mathematics Department, College of Science and Arts, Al-Badaya, Qassim University, Saudi Arabia.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors do not have any conflicts of interest.